Liga PortugalMatchday 4

Casa Pia 0-1 Moreirense: prediction, tips and result

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0-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Referee:
Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won63%

Casa Pia: no goal in their last 3 league matches; our numbers: 2.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Won35%

Casa Pia: no goal in their last 3 league matches; our numbers: 2.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCasa Pia154936%34%Draw30%29%Moreirense162633%37%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%48%O2.537%42%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Casa Pia1:1MoreirenseD
  2. Moreirense2:1Casa PiaL
  3. Moreirense3:2Casa PiaL
  4. Casa Pia3:1MoreirenseW
  5. Casa Pia0:1MoreirenseL
Casa Pia's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.4under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.2under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 3
RefereeL. Miguel Branco Godinho−0.5 cards vs average31 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.1total 2.2Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.4
Casa Pia : Moreirense
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-012%1-012%0-111%2-18%1-2—Attack/defence1-114%0-010%1-011%0-110%2-18%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-00-012%0-010%1-01-012%1-011%0-10-111%0-110%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-2—1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals82%79%79%
12 – no draw69%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%67%67%
Over 1.5 goals65%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%62%62%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals63%58%58%
Both teams to score: no55%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes45%48%48%
Over 2.5 goals37%42%42%
1 – Casa Pia win36%39% · Elo 34%39%· Elo 34%
Under 1.5 goals35%32%32%
2 – Moreirense win33%33% · Elo 37%33%· Elo 37%
X – draw30%29% · Elo 29%29%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals18%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Casa Pia attack vs Moreirense defenceattack1374defence1446−72 pts to the attack
Moreirense attack vs Casa Pia defenceattack1418defence1429−11 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Casa Pia: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Casa Pia score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Casa Pia: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Moreirense: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Moreirense82248:158
17Casa Pia81163:174
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Casa Pia vs Moreirense?

Casa Pia 0-1 Moreirense (half time 0-1).

Did the Casa Pia vs Moreirense tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.