Liga PortugalMatchday 2
Sp Lisbon 3-2 Guimaraes: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Jose Alvalade, Lisbon
- Referee:
- David Rafael Oliveira da Silva
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%
over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Match Result: Sp LisbonWon70%
Sp Lisbon: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won38%
over 3.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%52%O2.561%58%|exp. goals 2.1 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Sp Lisbon5:1GuimaraesW
- Guimaraes1:4Sp LisbonW
- Sp Lisbon2:0GuimaraesW
- Guimaraes4:4Sp LisbonD
- Sp Lisbon3:0GuimaraesW
Sp Lisbon's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses4.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.4under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.4league 5.2under 5.5: 55%Expected cards: 5.4 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 8
RefereeD. Rafael Oliveira da Silva+0.8 cards vs average28 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 0.8total 3.1Attack/defence2.1 : 0.9total 3.0
Sp Lisbon : GuimaraesMost likely scores
Market2-011%1-09%2-110%1-19%3-09%3-1—Attack/defence2-011%1-010%2-110%1-110%3-08%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-011%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-110%3-03-09%3-08%3-13-1—3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 88%86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 82%80% | 80% |
| 1 – Sp Lisbon win | 70%65% · Elo 79% | 65%· Elo 79% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%64% | 64% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 61%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%48% | 48% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%36% | 36% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 30%35% | 35% |
| X – draw | 18%20% · Elo 14% | 20%· Elo 14% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%20% | 20% |
| 2 – Guimaraes win | 12%14% · Elo 7% | 14%· Elo 7% |
Attack vs defence
Sp Lisbon attack vs Guimaraes defenceattack1733defence1504+229 pts to the attack
Guimaraes attack vs Sp Lisbon defenceattack1502defence1630−128 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sp Lisbon score 2.7 goals per game
- Sp Lisbon: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Guimaraes: 4 defeats in a row
- Sp Lisbon concede a lot late on: 11 of 18 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Sp Lisbon: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Guimaraes: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Sp Lisbon
Guimaraes
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sp Lisbon | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:10 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sp Lisbon vs Guimaraes?
Sp Lisbon 3-2 Guimaraes (half time 3-0).
Did the Sp Lisbon vs Guimaraes tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.