SuperligaMatchday 11

FC Arges 0-1 CFR Cluj: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadionul Mioveni, Mioveni
Referee:
Andrei Florin Chivulete

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – CFR Cluj (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won62%

CFR Cluj: under 2.5 card points in 10 of their last 10 league matches, FC Arges's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 6 of 10 (59% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – CFR Cluj: Over 3.5Lost59%

    CFR Cluj: 5.6 shots on target a match, FC Arges's opponents had 4.0 on average, league average 4.0

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFC Arges145032%35%Draw30%30%CFR Cluj152637%35%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%50%O2.538%44%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. CFR Cluj1:1FC ArgesD
  2. FC Arges0:1CFR ClujL
  3. FC Arges3:0CFR ClujW
  4. CFR Cluj0:2FC ArgesW
  5. CFR Cluj3:1FC ArgesL
FC Arges's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.7under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 3
RefereeA. Florin Chivulete+0.7 yellow cards vs average14 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)76%1X0:1coverageleague 82% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.2total 2.3Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.4
FC Arges : CFR Cluj
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-012%0-112%1-010%1-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-09%0-110%1-010%1-28%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-00-012%0-09%0-10-112%0-110%1-01-010%1-010%1-21-28%1-28%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals81%77%77%
12 – no draw69%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%64%64%
Over 1.5 goals66%70%70%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%65%65%
Under 2.5 goals62%56%56%
Both teams to score: no54%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes46%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals38%44%44%
2 – CFR Cluj win37%36% · Elo 35%36%· Elo 35%
Under 1.5 goals34%30%30%
1 – FC Arges win32%36% · Elo 35%36%· Elo 35%
X – draw30%28% · Elo 30%28%· Elo 30%
Over 3.5 goals19%23%23%
Attack vs defence
FC Arges attack vs CFR Cluj defenceattack1396defence1502−106 pts to the attack
CFR Cluj attack vs FC Arges defenceattack1584defence1552+32 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 8.9 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.565%65%
8.552%54%
9.540%44%
10.528%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
FC Argeswe expect 4.6, league average 4.9 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
CFR Clujwe expect 4.2, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 59%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 22.0 in this match, 22.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.552%54%
22.545%48%
23.538%40%
24.532%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
FC Argeswe expect 11.0, league average 11.0 · chance of over 10.5: 53%
CFR Clujwe expect 9.7, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 28%
Referee: 23.6 fouls per match on average (9 matches in our data)+3.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 2.1 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.563%73%
2.536%48%
3.517%26%
4.57%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
FC Argeswe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
CFR Clujwe expect 0.8, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 20%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • CFR Cluj matches average only 2.5 cards (league 4.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • FC Arges: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • CFR Cluj: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • FC Arges score only 0.6 goals per game
  • FC Arges concede a lot late on: 9 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • FC Arges: 24 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • CFR Cluj: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8CFR Cluj1151517:1716
13FC Arges113266:1111
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of FC Arges vs CFR Cluj?

FC Arges 0-1 CFR Cluj (half time 0-0).

Did the FC Arges vs CFR Cluj tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – CFR Cluj (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.