SuperligaMatchday 11
FCSB 1-0 Otelul: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Arena Nationala, Bucharest
- Referee:
- George Catalin Roman
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Match Result: FCSBWon66%
FCSB: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost57%
our numbers: 3.0 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5
- Shots on Target – FCSB: Over 4.5Lost66%
our numbers for FCSB: 5.8 shots on target against a league average of 4.9
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%55%O2.558%56%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- FCSB4:0OtelulW
- Otelul1:4FCSBW
- FCSB1:0OtelulW
- Otelul1:4FCSBW
- FCSB0:2OtelulL
FCSB's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.7over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.1under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 5
RefereeG. Catalin Roman+0.1 yellow cards vs average22 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%U3.53:1coverageleague 79% · H2H 2/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 0.9total 3.0Attack/defence1.9 : 1.1total 2.9
FCSB : OtelulMost likely scores
Market2-011%1-110%2-110%1-010%3-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%1-111%2-110%1-010%3-06%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-010%1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-010%1-010%3-03-08%3-06%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 86%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 81%77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%79% | 79% |
| Our tip: 1 – FCSB win | 66%57% · Elo 47% | 57%· Elo 47% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%66% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%45% | 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%34% | 34% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 35%43% | 43% |
| X – draw | 20%23% · Elo 28% | 23%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%21% | 21% |
| 2 – Otelul win | 15%20% · Elo 25% | 20%· Elo 25% |
Attack vs defence
FCSB attack vs Otelul defenceattack1605defence1479+126 pts to the attack
Otelul attack vs FCSB defenceattack1475defence1526−51 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 58%close to the league averageunder 42%over
We expect 9.3 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.570%65%
8.558%54%
9.545%44%
10.534%30%
Each team on its own
FCSBwe expect 5.8, league average 4.9 · chance of over 4.5: 66%
Otelulwe expect 3.9, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 23.7 in this match, 22.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.563%54%
22.556%48%
23.549%40%
24.543%33%
Each team on its own
FCSBwe expect 11.5, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 48%
Otelulwe expect 12.0, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 53%
Referee: 23.4 fouls per match on average (15 matches in our data)+0.7 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 67%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 33%
We expect 2.0 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.559%73%
2.533%48%
3.515%25%
4.56%12%
Each team on its own
FCSBwe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 30%
Otelulwe expect 0.8, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 21%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- FCSB: only 12 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- FCSB: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Otelul: 19 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FCSB | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | 15 |
| 14 | Otelul | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of FCSB vs Otelul?
FCSB 1-0 Otelul (half time 0-0).
Did the FCSB vs Otelul tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Match Result: FCSB. The tip won.