SuperligaMatchday 12
Petrolul vs Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%49%O2.547%46%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Petrolul2:1Sepsi Sf. GheorgheW
- Petrolul1:0Sepsi Sf. GheorgheW
- Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe1:1PetrolulD
- Petrolul1:2Sepsi Sf. GheorgheL
- Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe0:0PetrolulD
Petrolul's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.7under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Petrolul : Sepsi Sf. GheorgheMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-011%2-08%2-19%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-09%2-19%0-09%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-011%1-012%2-02-08%2-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-09%0-09%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Petrolul win | 45%49% · Elo 44% | 49%· Elo 44% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 29% | 27%· Elo 29% |
| 2 – Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe win | 27%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%29% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Petrolul attack vs Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe defenceattack1439defence1437+2 pts to the attack
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe attack vs Petrolul defenceattack1393defence1473−80 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.566%65%
8.554%54%
9.541%44%
10.530%30%
Each team on its own
Petrolulwe expect 5.0, league average 4.9 · chance of over 4.5: 55%
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghewe expect 4.0, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 56%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 21.6 in this match, 22.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.548%54%
22.541%48%
23.535%40%
24.529%33%
Each team on its own
Petrolulwe expect 10.0, league average 11.0 · chance of over 10.5: 42%
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghewe expect 11.5, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 48%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 2.3 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.567%74%
2.541%48%
3.520%25%
4.59%12%
Each team on its own
Petrolulwe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 30%
Sepsi Sf. Gheorghewe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe score only 0.7 goals per game
- Petrolul: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: newly promoted
- Petrolul: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Petrolul | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Petrolul vs Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe?
Petrolul are the favourites. Chances: Petrolul win 45%, draw 28%, Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe win 27%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Petrolul vs Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Petrolul 1.5, Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 47%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Petrolul vs Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe?
The chance that both teams score is 52%.
When is Petrolul vs Sepsi Sf. Gheorghe?
The Superliga match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:15 (UK time).