LaLigaMatchday 6

Barcelona 7-2 Santander: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Camp Nou, Barcelona (attendance: 50,568)
Referee:
Jose Luis Munuera Montero

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won75%

our numbers: 5.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7; over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (27% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Corners: Over 9.5Won61%

    9.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 14.0 in the visitors', league average 9.7; our numbers: 10.6 corners against a league average of 9.7

  • Cards: Under 4.5Lost57%

    2.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 5.2 in the visitors', league average 4.7

For the brave
Correct Score: 4:0Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBarcelona216393%80%Draw5%13%Santander17732%7%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%54%O2.589%69%|exp. goals 2.7 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Santander0:2BarcelonaW
  2. Barcelona3:0SantanderW
  3. Barcelona3:0SantanderW
  4. Santander0:3BarcelonaW
  5. Barcelona4:0SantanderW
Barcelona's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 9.7over 9.5: 61%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 18
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.7under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.lost · ended 5
RefereeJ. Luis Munuera Montero−0.5 cards vs average25 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market4.4 : 0.7total 5.1Attack/defence2.7 : 0.9total 3.6
Barcelona : Santander
Most likely scores
Market2-0—3-08%4-09%2-1—5-08%3-16%1-0—4-17%1-1—Attack/defence2-010%3-09%4-0—2-19%5-0—3-18%1-07%4-1—1-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-0—2-010%3-03-08%3-09%4-04-09%4-0—2-12-1—2-19%5-05-08%5-0—3-13-16%3-18%1-01-0—1-07%4-14-17%4-1—1-11-1—1-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat98%91%91%
Over 1.5 goals97%87%87%
12 – no draw95%85%85%
1 – Barcelona win93%76% · Elo 80%76%· Elo 80%
Over 2.5 goals89%69%69%
Our tip: Over 3.5 goals75%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes52%54%54%
Both teams to score: no48%46%46%
Under 3.5 goals25%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals11%31%31%
X2 – away team avoid defeat7%24%24%
X – draw5%15% · Elo 13%15%· Elo 13%
Under 1.5 goals3%13%13%
2 – Santander win2%9% · Elo 7%9%· Elo 7%
Attack vs defence
Barcelona attack vs Santander defenceattack1761defence1453+308 pts to the attack
Santander attack vs Barcelona defenceattack1445defence1607−162 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Barcelona score 2.9 goals per game
  • Barcelona matches average only 2.9 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Barcelona: 5 wins in a row
  • Santander: newly promoted
  • Barcelona: 3 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Santander: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Barcelona880034:724
15Santander822413:238
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Barcelona vs Santander?

Barcelona 7-2 Santander (half time 4-1).

Did the Barcelona vs Santander tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip won.