LaLigaMatchday 8

Elche 0-0 Celta: prediction, tips and result

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Elche
2-32-31-12-33-1
0-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Celta
5-01-11-10-00-2
Stadium:
Estadio Martínez Valero, Elche
Referee:
Javier Alberola Rojas

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Won57%

under 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (51% of league matches); 8.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.0 in the visitors', league average 9.7

Other tips

  • Cards – Celta (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost58%

    Celta: under 2.5 card points in 5 of their last 7 league matches, Elche's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 5 of 7 (55% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Offsides – Celta: Over 1.5Won72%

    Celta: 2.9 offsides a match, Elche's opponents were caught offside 3.6 times on average, league average 1.8; our numbers for Celta: 2.6 offsides against a league average of 1.8

  • Fouls – Elche: Over 11.5Won64%

    our numbers for Elche: 13.2 fouls against a league average of 11.8

  • Shots on Target – Elche: Under 5.5Won63%

    Elche: 4.7 shots on target a match, Celta's opponents had 3.9 on average, league average 5.1

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Won45%

under 8.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (41% of league matches); 8.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.0 in the visitors', league average 9.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloElche175932%37%Draw29%29%Celta182340%34%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%56%O2.549%52%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Celta3:1ElcheL
  2. Elche2:1CeltaW
  3. Celta1:0ElcheL
  4. Elche0:1CeltaL
  5. Celta1:0ElcheL
Elche's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.7under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.4under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 4
RefereeJ. Alberola Rojas−0.4 yellow cards vs average28 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)71%1X0:1coverageleague 79% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.4total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Elche : Celta
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-19%1-29%1-08%2-1—0-08%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-18%1-28%1-09%2-19%0-0—2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%0-10-19%0-18%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-08%1-09%2-12-1—2-19%0-00-08%0-0—2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals73%70%70%
12 – no draw72%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes55%56%56%
Under 2.5 goals51%48%48%
Over 2.5 goals49%52%52%
Both teams to score: no45%44%44%
2 – Celta win40%33% · Elo 34%33%· Elo 34%
1 – Elche win32%41% · Elo 37%41%· Elo 37%
X – draw29%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals27%30%30%
Under 1.5 goals25%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Elche attack vs Celta defenceattack1452defence1489−37 pts to the attack
Celta attack vs Elche defenceattack1490defence1433+57 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.562%67%
8.549%52%
9.536%40%
10.526%31%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Elchewe expect 4.9, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 37%
Celtawe expect 3.5, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 25.1 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.565%54%
23.558%48%
24.552%42%
25.545%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Elchewe expect 13.2, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 64%
Celtawe expect 11.5, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 48%
Referee: 23.8 fouls per match on average (28 matches in our data)+0.9 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 64%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 36%over
We expect 4.4 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.581%70%
3.564%49%
4.545%35%
5.529%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Elchewe expect 1.7, league average 2.2 · chance of over 2.5: 25%
Celtawe expect 2.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 72%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Elche concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Celta matches average only 7.6 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Elche: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Celta: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Elche

Celta

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Celta81528:68
18Elche813411:176
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Elche vs Celta?

Elche 0-0 Celta (half time 0-0).

Did the Elche vs Celta tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip won.

See also