LaLigaMatchday 6

Elche 2-3 Real Madrid: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Martínez Valero, Elche (attendance: 30,383)
Referee:
Jesus Gil Manzano

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won75%

our numbers: 3.9 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7; over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Match Result: Real MadridWon80%

    Real Madrid: won 4 of their last 5 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:3Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloElche17598%13%Draw12%20%Real Madrid211180%68%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%58%O2.575%58%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Real Madrid4:1ElcheL
  2. Elche2:2Real MadridD
  3. Real Madrid4:0ElcheL
  4. Elche0:3Real MadridL
  5. Real Madrid2:2ElcheD
Elche's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.7under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.6over 4.5: 50%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.won · ended 6
RefereeJ. Gil Manzano+0.3 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 3.0total 3.9Attack/defence1.2 : 1.9total 3.0
Elche : Real Madrid
Most likely scores
Market1-1—1-28%0-39%0-29%0-1—1-38%0-47%2-1—Attack/defence1-111%1-210%0-3—0-28%0-19%1-36%0-4—2-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-1—1-111%1-21-28%1-210%0-30-39%0-3—0-20-29%0-28%0-10-1—0-19%1-31-38%1-36%0-40-47%0-4—2-12-1—2-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat92%77%77%
Over 1.5 goals90%80%80%
12 – no draw88%77%77%
2 – Real Madrid win80%53% · Elo 68%53%· Elo 68%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals75%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes56%58%58%
Over 3.5 goals55%36%36%
Under 3.5 goals45%64%64%
Both teams to score: no44%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals25%42%42%
1X – home team avoid defeat20%47%47%
X – draw12%23% · Elo 20%23%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals10%20%20%
1 – Elche win8%23% · Elo 13%23%· Elo 13%
Attack vs defence
Elche attack vs Real Madrid defenceattack1443defence1600−157 pts to the attack
Real Madrid attack vs Elche defenceattack1692defence1437+255 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Elche concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Real Madrid score 2.3 goals per game
  • Elche played 3 days ago
  • Real Madrid played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Real Madrid860219:818
18Elche813411:176
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Elche vs Real Madrid?

Elche 2-3 Real Madrid (half time 0-2).

Did the Elche vs Real Madrid tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.