LaLigaMatchday 5
Real Madrid 4-1 Vallecano: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid (attendance: 71,898)
- Referee:
- Victor Garcia Verdura
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won57%
our numbers: 4.0 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
Other tips
- Cards: Under 4.5Won56%
referee Victor Garcia Verdura averages 3.8 cards a match, league average 4.7
For the brave
Correct Score: 4:0Lost9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%52%O2.577%58%|exp. goals 2.1 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Real Madrid2:1VallecanoW
- Vallecano0:0Real MadridD
- Real Madrid2:1VallecanoW
- Vallecano3:3Real MadridD
- Vallecano1:1Real MadridD
Real Madrid's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.7over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 16
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.7under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 1
RefereeV. Garcia Verdura−0.8 cards vs average22 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market3.3 : 0.7total 4.0Attack/defence2.1 : 0.9total 3.0
Real Madrid : VallecanoMost likely scores
Market3-011%2-010%1-0—2-17%1-1—4-09%3-18%Attack/defence3-08%2-011%1-010%2-110%1-110%4-0—3-17%
MarketAttack/defence3-03-011%3-08%2-02-010%2-011%1-01-0—1-010%2-12-17%2-110%1-11-1—1-110%4-04-09%4-0—3-13-18%3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 95%86% | 86% |
| 12 – no draw | 91%80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91%80% | 80% |
| 1 – Real Madrid win | 86%65% · Elo 74% | 65%· Elo 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77%58% | 58% |
| Our tip: Over 3.5 goals | 57%36% | 36% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%48% | 48% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 43%64% | 64% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23%42% | 42% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 14%35% | 35% |
| X – draw | 9%20% · Elo 17% | 20%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9%20% | 20% |
| 2 – Vallecano win | 5%14% · Elo 10% | 14%· Elo 10% |
Attack vs defence
Real Madrid attack vs Vallecano defenceattack1681defence1502+179 pts to the attack
Vallecano attack vs Real Madrid defenceattack1464defence1603−139 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:8 | 18 |
| 13 | Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Real Madrid vs Vallecano?
Real Madrid 4-1 Vallecano (half time 3-0).
Did the Real Madrid vs Vallecano tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip won.