LaLigaMatchday 9
La Coruna vs Levante: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%56%O2.549%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- La Coruna2:2LevanteD
- Levante2:2La CorunaD
- La Coruna2:1LevanteW
- Levante1:1La CorunaD
- La Coruna2:0LevanteW
La Coruna's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.7over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.4under 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
La Coruna : LevanteMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-08%0-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-0—0-17%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-00-08%0-0—0-10-1—0-17%1-21-2—1-27%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%44% | 44% |
| 1 – La Coruna win | 45%47% · Elo 47% | 47%· Elo 47% |
| X – draw | 28%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Levante win | 28%28% · Elo 25% | 28%· Elo 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%31% | 31% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
La Coruna attack vs Levante defenceattack1430defence1423+7 pts to the attack
Levante attack vs La Coruna defenceattack1469defence1476−7 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.566%67%
8.554%53%
9.541%40%
10.530%31%
Each team on its own
La Corunawe expect 5.5, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 46%
Levantewe expect 3.7, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 21.8 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.543%55%
23.536%48%
24.530%43%
25.525%36%
Each team on its own
La Corunawe expect 11.2, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 45%
Levantewe expect 10.4, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 35%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.564%69%
3.543%48%
4.525%34%
5.513%24%
Each team on its own
La Corunawe expect 1.9, league average 2.1 · chance of over 2.5: 29%
Levantewe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Ivan Romero de Avila AraqueLevante3 matches with a goal3 goalsWent on 27%Season 43%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Levante matches average only 3.4 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- La Coruna: newly promoted
- La Coruna: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Levante: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win La Coruna vs Levante?
La Coruna are the favourites. Chances: La Coruna win 45%, draw 28%, Levante win 28%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in La Coruna vs Levante?
Expected goals: 2.6 (La Coruna 1.5, Levante 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 49%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in La Coruna vs Levante?
The chance that both teams score is 54%.
When is La Coruna vs Levante?
The LaLiga match kicks off 16 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).