AllsvenskanMatchday 19

GAIS 4-0 Brommapojkarna: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Referee:
Kristoffer Karlsson

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost59%

under 3.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost57%

    Brommapojkarna: scored in each of their last 11 league matches

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost38%

under 2.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (33% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGAIS155354%50%Draw24%25%Brommapojkarna145521%25%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%51%O2.556%49%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Brommapojkarna1:1GAISD
  2. Brommapojkarna0:2GAISW
  3. GAIS1:1BrommapojkarnaD
  4. Brommapojkarna2:0GAISL
  5. GAIS0:4BrommapojkarnaL
GAIS's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.3under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.5under 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 4
RefereeK. Karlsson−0.5 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.1total 2.9Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.6
GAIS : Brommapojkarna
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-09%2-110%2-09%0-06%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-010%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-010%0-00-06%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat78%78%78%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals66%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes57%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals56%49%49%
1 – GAIS win54%53% · Elo 50%53%· Elo 50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat45%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals44%51%51%
Both teams to score: no43%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals34%27%27%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
2 – Brommapojkarna win21%22% · Elo 25%22%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals20%26%26%
Attack vs defence
GAIS attack vs Brommapojkarna defenceattack1491defence1437+54 pts to the attack
Brommapojkarna attack vs GAIS defenceattack1483defence1593−110 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • GAIS: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • GAIS: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Brommapojkarna: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10GAIS2386928:2130
11Brommapojkarna2386936:4130
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of GAIS vs Brommapojkarna?

GAIS 4-0 Brommapojkarna (half time 2-0).

Did the GAIS vs Brommapojkarna tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.