Challenge LeagueMatchday 5

Etoile Carouge 2-1 Rapperswil-Jona: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
Referee:
Maxime Odiet

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won62%

referee Maxime Odiet averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 4.6; our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 4.6

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won67%

    our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won44%

our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 4.6; referee Maxime Odiet averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 4.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloEtoile Carouge129048%48%Draw24%26%Rapperswil-Jona128628%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%59%O2.567%58%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Rapperswil-Jona2:1Etoile CarougeL
  2. Etoile Carouge2:1Rapperswil-JonaW
  3. Etoile Carouge0:2Rapperswil-JonaL
  4. Rapperswil-Jona1:0Etoile CarougeL
Etoile Carouge's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.1under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.6under 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 0
RefereeM. Odiet−1.5 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.5total 3.5Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.0
Etoile Carouge : Rapperswil-Jona
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-0—2-06%1-27%2-27%Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-08%2-02-06%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%80%80%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%74%74%
Over 2.5 goals67%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes67%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals55%64%64%
X2 – away team avoid defeat52%51%51%
1 – Etoile Carouge win48%50% · Elo 48%50%· Elo 48%
Over 3.5 goals45%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals33%42%42%
Both teams to score: no33%41%41%
2 – Rapperswil-Jona win28%27% · Elo 26%27%· Elo 26%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals13%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Etoile Carouge attack vs Rapperswil-Jona defenceattack1468defence1429+39 pts to the attack
Rapperswil-Jona attack vs Etoile Carouge defenceattack1486defence1541−55 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rapperswil-Jona concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Rapperswil-Jona: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Etoile Carouge: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Rapperswil-Jona: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Rapperswil-Jona1031615:1910
9Etoile Carouge102358:149
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Etoile Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Etoile Carouge 2-1 Rapperswil-Jona (half time 1-1).

Did the Etoile Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.