Challenge LeagueMatchday 3

Etoile Carouge 0-1 Xamax: prediction, tips and result

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0-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
Referee:
Maurizio Londino

The match in numbers

1X2EloEtoile Carouge129038%42%Draw26%27%Xamax132236%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%61%O2.563%59%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Xamax3:0Etoile CarougeL
  2. Etoile Carouge1:3XamaxL
  3. Etoile Carouge0:2XamaxL
  4. Xamax2:1Etoile CarougeL
  5. Xamax1:2Etoile CarougeW
Etoile Carouge's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.0over 8.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.6under 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. Londino−0.8 cards vs average2 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.6total 3.3Attack/defence1.7 : 1.4total 3.0
Etoile Carouge : Xamax
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-18%1-28%1-06%2-27%2-0—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-26%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-06%1-08%2-22-27%2-26%2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%81%81%
12 – no draw74%76%76%
Both teams to score: yes66%61%61%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%69%69%
Over 2.5 goals63%59%59%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals59%64%64%
Over 3.5 goals41%36%36%
1 – Etoile Carouge win38%44% · Elo 42%44%· Elo 42%
Under 2.5 goals37%42%42%
2 – Xamax win36%31% · Elo 31%31%· Elo 31%
Both teams to score: no34%39%39%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals15%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Etoile Carouge attack vs Xamax defenceattack1480defence1488−8 pts to the attack
Xamax attack vs Etoile Carouge defenceattack1519defence1535−16 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Xamax: 10 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Xamax score 2.3 goals per game
  • Xamax: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Etoile Carouge: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Xamax: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Xamax1050515:1715
9Etoile Carouge102358:149
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Etoile Carouge vs Xamax?

Etoile Carouge 0-1 Xamax (half time 0-1).