Challenge LeagueMatchday 5

Yverdon 1-1 Wil: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains
Referee:
Jonathan Jaussi

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won63%

referee Jonathan Jaussi averages 3.9 cards a match, league average 4.6; our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 4.6

Other tips

  • Match Result: YverdonLost64%

    Yverdon: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost45%

our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 4.6; referee Jonathan Jaussi averages 3.9 cards a match, league average 4.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloYverdon145664%62%Draw19%22%Wil128716%16%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%61%O2.565%63%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Wil0:1YverdonW
  2. Yverdon0:0WilD
  3. Wil2:4YverdonW
  4. Yverdon4:0WilW
  5. Wil0:2YverdonW
Yverdon's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.1under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.6under 4.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 4
RefereeJ. Jaussi−1.4 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.1total 3.4Attack/defence2.1 : 1.2total 3.3
Yverdon : Wil
Most likely scores
Market2-110%1-19%2-09%1-07%3-17%2-2—Attack/defence2-110%1-110%2-08%1-08%3-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-110%2-02-09%2-08%1-01-07%1-08%3-13-17%3-17%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%84%84%
1X – home team avoid defeat83%79%79%
12 – no draw80%78%78%
Over 2.5 goals65%63%63%
1 – Yverdon win64%57% · Elo 62%57%· Elo 62%
Both teams to score: yes59%61%61%
Under 3.5 goals57%59%59%
Over 3.5 goals43%41%41%
Both teams to score: no41%39%39%
X2 – away team avoid defeat35%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals35%37%37%
X – draw19%22% · Elo 22%22%· Elo 22%
2 – Wil win16%21% · Elo 16%21%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals15%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Yverdon attack vs Wil defenceattack1564defence1442+122 pts to the attack
Wil attack vs Yverdon defenceattack1463defence1540−77 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Wil concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Wil matches average only 3.0 cards (league 4.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Yverdon: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Wil: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Yverdon1054116:919
8Wil1024416:2210
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Yverdon vs Wil?

Yverdon 1-1 Wil (half time 1-1).

Did the Yverdon vs Wil tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.