Super LeagueMatchday 9

Luzern 5-1 Grasshoppers: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Thermoplan Arena, Lucerne
Referee:
Luca Cibelli

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won74%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.9 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3

Other tips

  • Cards: Over 4.5Won58%

    referee Luca Cibelli averages 5.7 cards a match, league average 4.8

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLuzern159757%56%Draw20%25%Grasshoppers145922%20%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%64%O2.574%66%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Grasshoppers1:2LuzernW
  2. Luzern4:3GrasshoppersW
  3. Luzern6:0GrasshoppersW
  4. Grasshoppers2:3LuzernW
  5. Grasshoppers3:1LuzernL
Luzern's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss5.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.3over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards5.2league 4.8over 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.won · ended 5
RefereeL. Cibelli+0.6 cards vs average25 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.5total 3.9Attack/defence2.1 : 1.3total 3.4
Luzern : Grasshoppers
Most likely scores
Market2-19%1-18%2-06%3-17%2-27%1-0—Attack/defence2-110%1-19%2-07%3-17%2-26%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%1-11-18%1-19%2-02-06%2-07%3-13-17%3-17%2-22-27%2-26%1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals90%85%85%
12 – no draw79%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat77%77%77%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals74%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes71%64%64%
1 – Luzern win57%55% · Elo 56%55%· Elo 56%
Over 3.5 goals54%44%44%
Under 3.5 goals46%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat42%45%45%
Both teams to score: no29%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals26%34%34%
2 – Grasshoppers win22%23% · Elo 20%23%· Elo 20%
X – draw20%22% · Elo 25%22%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals10%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Luzern attack vs Grasshoppers defenceattack1536defence1461+75 pts to the attack
Grasshoppers attack vs Luzern defenceattack1408defence1469−61 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Grasshoppers concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Grasshoppers matches average 12.3 corners (league 10.3) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Luzern: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Grasshoppers: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Luzern1033417:2212
11Grasshoppers1022613:268
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Luzern vs Grasshoppers?

Luzern 5-1 Grasshoppers (half time 2-0).

Did the Luzern vs Grasshoppers tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.