Super LeagueMatchday 8
Luzern 2-4 Basel: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Thermoplan Arena, Lucerne
- Referee:
- Urs Schnyder
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%67%O2.567%67%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Luzern4:2BaselW
- Luzern1:2BaselL
- Basel1:2LuzernW
- Basel4:0LuzernL
- Luzern1:1BaselD
Luzern's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.3under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.8league 4.8over 4.5: 51%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 3
RefereeU. Schnyder−0.3 cards vs average32 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.5total 3.4Attack/defence1.9 : 1.5total 3.4
Luzern : BaselMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%2-06%1-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%2-06%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-27%2-02-06%2-06%1-01-0—1-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87%86% | 86% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68%67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%67% | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55%55% | 55% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Luzern win | 46%47% · Elo 43% | 47%· Elo 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45%45% | 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33%33% | 33% |
| Both teams to score: no | 32%33% | 33% |
| 2 – Basel win | 30%31% · Elo 30% | 31%· Elo 30% |
| X – draw | 24%23% · Elo 28% | 23%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13%14% | 14% |
Attack vs defence
Luzern attack vs Basel defenceattack1539defence1505+34 pts to the attack
Basel attack vs Luzern defenceattack1510defence1478+32 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Basel concede 2.2 goals per game
- Basel: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Luzern: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Basel: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Basel | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:20 | 13 |
| 8 | Luzern | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:22 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Luzern vs Basel?
Luzern 2-4 Basel (half time 1-2).