Super LeagueMatchday 10
Zurich 4-2 Thun: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Letzigrund, Zurich
- Referee:
- Hajrim Qovanaj
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won68%
over 2.5 goals in 8 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (66% of league matches)
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won47%
over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 9 (41% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%69%O2.566%68%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Zurich2:1ThunW
- Thun4:2ZurichL
- Zurich0:4ThunL
- Thun3:2ZurichL
- Thun0:1ZurichW
Zurich's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.6league 4.5under 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 2
RefereeH. Qovanaj+0.2 yellow cards vs average20 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)71%X22:1coverageleague 66% · H2H 4/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.7total 3.4Attack/defence1.8 : 1.7total 3.5
Zurich : ThunMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-05%3-1—Attack/defence1-110%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-05%3-15%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-05%1-05%3-13-1—3-15%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%86% | 86% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68%69% | 69% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 66%68% | 68% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%63% | 63% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 61%60% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%54% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Zurich win | 39%40% · Elo 31% | 40%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Thun win | 37%37% · Elo 40% | 37%· Elo 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%32% | 32% |
| Both teams to score: no | 32%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 24%23% · Elo 28% | 23%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%14% | 14% |
Attack vs defence
Zurich attack vs Thun defenceattack1435defence1449−14 pts to the attack
Thun attack vs Zurich defenceattack1521defence1438+83 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 9.3 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.557%65%
9.545%48%
10.533%40%
11.524%26%
Each team on its own
Zurichwe expect 5.1, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 39%
Thunwe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 22.1 in this match, 23.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.545%51%
23.538%45%
24.532%41%
25.526%38%
Each team on its own
Zurichwe expect 11.2, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 45%
Thunwe expect 13.2, league average 12.2 · chance of over 12.5: 54%
Referee: 18.0 fouls per match on average (6 matches in our data)−7.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.576%80%
2.552%54%
3.530%33%
4.515%15%
Each team on its own
Zurichwe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Thunwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Thun concede 2.4 goals per game
- Zurich concede 2.2 goals per game
- Zurich: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Zurich: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Thun: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Zurich | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 9 | Thun | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17:27 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Zurich vs Thun?
Zurich 4-2 Thun (half time 2-1).
Did the Zurich vs Thun tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.