Super LigMatchday 9
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 12d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%O2.556%59%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Buyuksehyr2:3BesiktasW
- Besiktas2:1BuyuksehyrW
- Besiktas0:2BuyuksehyrL
- Buyuksehyr0:0BesiktasD
- Buyuksehyr1:1BesiktasD
Besiktas's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.5under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.7 : 1.2total 2.9Attack/defence1.9 : 1.2total 3.1
Besiktas : BuyuksehyrMost likely scores
Model1-112%2-110%1-08%2-08%1-27%3-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-26%3-16%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-08%2-08%1-21-27%1-26%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%81% | 81% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%64% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%59% | 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%47% | 47% |
| 1 – Besiktas win | 49%53% · Elo 59% | 53%· Elo 59% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%41% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%36% | 36% |
| X – draw | 26%23% · Elo 23% | 23%· Elo 23% |
| 2 – Buyuksehyr win | 25%24% · Elo 18% | 24%· Elo 18% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Besiktas attack vs Buyuksehyr defenceattack1634defence1529+105 pts to the attack
Buyuksehyr attack vs Besiktas defenceattack1555defence1570−15 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.569%61%
8.557%50%
9.544%37%
10.533%27%
Each team on its own
Besiktaswe expect 6.4, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 73%
Buyuksehyrwe expect 3.5, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 24.5 in this match, 24.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.555%58%
24.548%52%
25.542%48%
26.535%41%
Each team on its own
Besiktaswe expect 12.2, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 44%
Buyuksehyrwe expect 12.4, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 35%over
We expect 4.5 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.582%67%
3.565%44%
4.547%26%
5.530%15%
Each team on its own
Besiktaswe expect 3.1, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 79%
Buyuksehyrwe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Besiktas | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16:8 | 15 |
| 11 | Buyuksehyr | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr?
Besiktas are the favourites. Chances: Besiktas win 49%, draw 26%, Buyuksehyr win 25%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Besiktas 1.7, Buyuksehyr 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 56%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr?
The Super Lig match kicks off 26 October 2026, 16:00 (UK time).