Super LigMatchday 7
Besiktas 2-1 Kocaelispor: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Tupras Stadium, Istanbul
- Referee:
- Abdullah Bugra Taskinsoy
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Match Result: BesiktasWon78%
Besiktas: won 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; won 4 of their last 6 league matches
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Won65%
our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
- Yellow Cards: Under 4.5Won60%
under 4.5 yellow cards in 3 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 6 (57% of league matches)
- Shots on Target – Besiktas: Over 4.5Won60%
our numbers for Besiktas: 5.4 shots on target against a league average of 4.8
- Offsides – Besiktas: Under 1.5Lost60%
our numbers for Besiktas: 1.4 offsides against a league average of 1.8
- Fouls – Besiktas: Over 12.5Lost55%
our numbers for Besiktas: 13.3 fouls against a league average of 12.4
For the brave
Correct Score: 3:0Lost11%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%49%O2.565%51%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Kocaelispor0:1BesiktasW
- Besiktas3:1KocaelisporW
- Kocaelispor1:3BesiktasW
- Besiktas5:2KocaelisporW
- Kocaelispor0:5BesiktasW
Besiktas's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.5under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.4under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 3
RefereeA. Bugra Taskinsoy−0.7 yellow cards vs average6 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)71%BTTS yes2:03:0coverageleague 65% · H2H 3/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 0.7total 3.4Attack/defence1.8 : 0.9total 2.7
Besiktas : KocaelisporMost likely scores
Market2-012%1-09%3-011%1-1—2-18%3-18%0-0—Attack/defence2-011%1-012%3-07%1-111%2-110%3-1—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-011%1-01-09%1-012%3-03-011%3-07%1-11-1—1-111%2-12-18%2-110%3-13-18%3-1—0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 92%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 86%77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%75% | 75% |
| Our tip: 1 – Besiktas win | 79%60% · Elo 69% | 60%· Elo 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65%51% | 51% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57%71% | 71% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43%29% | 29% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 20%40% | 40% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 13%23% · Elo 19% | 23%· Elo 19% |
| 2 – Kocaelispor win | 7%17% · Elo 12% | 17%· Elo 12% |
Attack vs defence
Besiktas attack vs Kocaelispor defenceattack1632defence1540+92 pts to the attack
Kocaelispor attack vs Besiktas defenceattack1390defence1569−179 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.560%61%
8.547%50%
9.534%37%
10.524%27%
Each team on its own
Besiktaswe expect 5.4, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 60%
Kocaelisporwe expect 3.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 39%
Foulsleague average
Over 24.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 25.6 in this match, 24.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.562%58%
24.555%52%
25.549%49%
26.542%41%
Each team on its own
Besiktaswe expect 13.3, league average 12.4 · chance of over 12.5: 55%
Kocaelisporwe expect 12.8, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 50%
Referee: 24.2 fouls per match on average (6 matches in our data)−0.9 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.562%66%
3.540%44%
4.522%26%
5.511%16%
Each team on its own
Besiktaswe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Kocaelisporwe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Kocaelispor: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Besiktas: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Kocaelispor: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Besiktas | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Besiktas vs Kocaelispor?
Besiktas 2-1 Kocaelispor (half time 2-1).
Did the Besiktas vs Kocaelispor tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Besiktas. The tip won.