Super LigMatchday 8
Corum vs Rizespor: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%57%O2.554%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.5under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.4under 4.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.2total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Corum : RizesporMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%2-07%1-28%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-09%1-09%2-02-08%2-07%1-21-27%1-28%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%67% | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54%54% | 54% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%59% | 59% |
| 1 – Corum win | 47%41% · Elo 43% | 41%· Elo 43% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32%31% | 31% |
| 2 – Rizespor win | 27%33% · Elo 29% | 33%· Elo 29% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Corum attack vs Rizespor defenceattack1442defence1459−17 pts to the attack
Rizespor attack vs Corum defenceattack1490defence1438+52 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 9.4 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.570%61%
8.558%50%
9.546%37%
10.534%27%
Each team on its own
Corumwe expect 5.4, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 62%
Rizesporwe expect 4.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 62%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 34%
We expect 22.4 in this match, 24.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.540%58%
24.534%52%
25.528%48%
26.523%41%
Each team on its own
Corumwe expect 11.7, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 40%
Rizesporwe expect 10.3, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 26%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.565%67%
3.543%44%
4.525%26%
5.513%15%
Each team on its own
Corumwe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Rizesporwe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Rizespor matches average only 3.0 cards (league 4.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Rizespor concede a lot late on: 12 of 28 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Corum: newly promoted
- Corum: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Rizespor: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Corum | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Corum vs Rizespor?
Corum are the favourites. Chances: Corum win 47%, draw 25%, Rizespor win 27%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Corum vs Rizespor?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Corum 1.6, Rizespor 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Corum vs Rizespor?
The chance that both teams score is 57%.
When is Corum vs Rizespor?
The Super Lig match kicks off 16 October 2026, 18:00 (UK time).