Columbus Crew 1-3 New England Revolution: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus, OH
Referee:
Jon Freemon

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won57%

3.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.0 in the visitors', league average 4.3; under 4.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won60%

    under 10.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (57% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won39%

under 3.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (40% of league matches); 3.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.0 in the visitors', league average 4.3

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloColumbus Crew142343%49%Draw26%26%New England Revolution139331%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%55%O2.558%53%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. New England Revolution2:1Columbus CrewL
  2. Columbus Crew1:2New England RevolutionL
  3. New England Revolution0:1Columbus CrewW
  4. Columbus Crew4:0New England RevolutionW
  5. New England Revolution1:5Columbus CrewW
Columbus Crew's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.3under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 2
RefereeJ. Freemon+0.5 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Columbus Crew : New England Revolution
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%2-19%2-07%1-28%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-07%1-010%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-07%2-09%1-21-28%1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%77%77%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals64%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes61%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals58%53%53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%51%51%
1 – Columbus Crew win43%49% · Elo 49%49%· Elo 49%
Under 2.5 goals42%47%47%
Both teams to score: no39%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals36%31%31%
2 – New England Revolution win31%26% · Elo 25%26%· Elo 25%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals19%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Columbus Crew attack vs New England Revolution defenceattack1514defence1498+16 pts to the attack
New England Revolution attack vs Columbus Crew defenceattack1468defence1511−43 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Columbus Crew concede 2.0 goals per game
  • New England Revolution matches average only 3.0 cards (league 4.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Columbus Crew: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Columbus Crew matches average only 7.9 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Columbus Crew: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Columbus Crew: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • New England Revolution: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4New England Revolution281441045:3946
13Columbus Crew28851541:4629
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?

Columbus Crew 1-3 New England Revolution (half time 1-2).

Did the Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.