Los Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Referee:
Ricardo Montero Araya

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won56%

2.9 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.9 in the visitors', league average 4.4; under 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost73%

    our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2

  • Match Result: Los Angeles FCWon68%

    New York Red Bulls: winless in their last 5 league matches

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost38%

under 3.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (40% of league matches); 2.9 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.9 in the visitors', league average 4.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLos Angeles FC149868%62%Draw17%22%New York Red Bulls137715%16%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%53%O2.573%54%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Los Angeles FC2:2New York Red BullsD
  2. Los Angeles FC2:0New York Red BullsW
  3. Los Angeles FC4:2New York Red BullsW
  4. New York Red Bulls2:1Los Angeles FCL
Los Angeles FC's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.0under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 4
RefereeR. Montero Araya+0.6 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 1.2total 3.8Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.8
Los Angeles FC : New York Red Bulls
Most likely scores
Market1-18%1-0—2-08%2-19%3-18%3-07%Attack/defence1-111%1-011%2-010%2-110%3-16%3-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-111%1-01-0—1-011%2-02-08%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%3-13-18%3-16%3-03-07%3-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat85%82%82%
12 – no draw83%77%77%
Over 2.5 goals73%54%54%
1 – Los Angeles FC win68%59% · Elo 62%59%· Elo 62%
Both teams to score: yes64%53%53%
Over 3.5 goals52%32%32%
Under 3.5 goals48%68%68%
Both teams to score: no36%48%48%
X2 – away team avoid defeat32%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals27%46%46%
X – draw17%23% · Elo 22%23%· Elo 22%
2 – New York Red Bulls win15%18% · Elo 16%18%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals11%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Los Angeles FC attack vs New York Red Bulls defenceattack1542defence1466+76 pts to the attack
New York Red Bulls attack vs Los Angeles FC defenceattack1471defence1613−142 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Los Angeles FC matches average only 2.9 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Los Angeles FC matches average 12.3 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Los Angeles FC: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • New York Red Bulls: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Los Angeles FCWestern Conference29119944:3142
8New York Red BullsEastern Conference281061238:5236
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?

Los Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red Bulls (half time 1-0).

Did the Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.