Seattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red Bulls: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 6 September · 01:30

Seattle Sounders

1-2 0-2 1-2 1-1 2-2

0-0Full time(half time 0-0)

New York Red Bulls

1-3 1-1 0-1 1-2 3-2

Stadium:: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Referee:: Ricardo Fierro

Our tips

Main tip

Cards: Under 4.5Won62%

2.5 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.0 in the visitors', league average 4.4; under 4.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

Other tips

Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost72%
our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2

For the brave

Cards: Under 3.5Lost43%

under 3.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (39% of league matches); 2.5 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.0 in the visitors', league average 4.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSeattle Sounders146553%52%Draw22%25%New York Red Bulls137724%23%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS70%54%O2.572%52%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

28/05/202328/05/23Seattle Sounders1:0New York Red BullsW
15/09/201915/09/19Seattle Sounders4:2New York Red BullsW
14/06/201814/06/18New York Red Bulls2:1Seattle SoundersL
19/03/201719/03/17Seattle Sounders3:1New York Red BullsW
19/06/201619/06/16New York Red Bulls2:0Seattle SoundersL

Seattle Sounders's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 16

Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.4under 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 4

RefereeR. Fierro−0.4 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market2.3 : 1.5total 3.8Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8

Seattle Sounders : New York Red Bulls

Most likely scores

Market1-18%1-0—2-19%2-0—2-27%3-17%0-0—0-1—1-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%2-2—3-1—0-07%0-16%1-2—

MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-112%1-01-0—1-010%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-0—2-09%2-22-27%2-2—3-13-17%3-1—0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-16%1-21-26%1-2—

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	90%76%	76%
12 – no draw	77%75%	75%
1X – home team avoid defeat	75%77%	77%
Over 2.5 goals	72%52%	52%
Both teams to score: yes	70%54%	54%
1 – Seattle Sounders win	53%52% · Elo 52%	52%· Elo 52%
Over 3.5 goals	52%30%	30%
Under 3.5 goals	48%70%	70%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	46%48%	48%
Both teams to score: no	30%46%	46%
Under 2.5 goals	28%48%	48%
2 – New York Red Bulls win	24%23% · Elo 23%	23%· Elo 23%
X – draw	22%25% · Elo 25%	25%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals	10%24%	24%

Attack vs defence

Seattle Sounders attack vs New York Red Bulls defenceattack1485defence1457+28 pts to the attack

New York Red Bulls attack vs Seattle Sounders defenceattack1480defence1560−80 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Seattle Sounders concede 2.1 goals per game
Seattle Sounders matches average only 2.5 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
Seattle Sounders score only 0.7 goals per game
Seattle Sounders: only 2 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Seattle Sounders: no win in 10 matches
Seattle Sounders: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
New York Red Bulls: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

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