Atlanta Utd 2-1 New York Red Bulls: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Mercedes‑Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA (attendance: 38,469)
Referee:
Marcos De Oliveira

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won64%

referee Marcos De Oliveira averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 4.4; our numbers: 3.9 cards against a league average of 4.4

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon68%

    goals at both ends in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (62% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won46%

referee Marcos De Oliveira averages 2.9 cards a match, league average 4.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAtlanta Utd131947%36%Draw24%28%New York Red Bulls137729%36%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%57%O2.568%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. New York Red Bulls2:0Atlanta UtdL
  2. Atlanta Utd0:0New York Red BullsD
  3. Atlanta Utd2:1New York Red BullsW
  4. New York Red Bulls2:2Atlanta UtdD
  5. New York Red Bulls4:0Atlanta UtdL
Atlanta Utd's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.4under 4.5: 64%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. De Oliveira−1.6 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.5total 3.5Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Atlanta Utd : New York Red Bulls
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-0—1-27%0-1—2-27%2-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-18%2-2—2-07%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-0—1-09%1-21-27%1-28%0-10-1—0-18%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-07%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%77%77%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%67%67%
Over 2.5 goals68%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes68%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals54%69%69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%59%59%
1 – Atlanta Utd win47%41% · Elo 36%41%· Elo 36%
Over 3.5 goals46%31%31%
Under 2.5 goals32%47%47%
Both teams to score: no32%43%43%
2 – New York Red Bulls win29%33% · Elo 36%33%· Elo 36%
X – draw24%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals13%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Atlanta Utd attack vs New York Red Bulls defenceattack1415defence1464−49 pts to the attack
New York Red Bulls attack vs Atlanta Utd defenceattack1497defence1460+37 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • New York Red Bulls concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Atlanta Utd: no win in 7 matches
  • Atlanta Utd: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • New York Red Bulls: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8New York Red Bulls281061238:5236
14Atlanta Utd28761533:4827
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Atlanta Utd vs New York Red Bulls?

Atlanta Utd 2-1 New York Red Bulls (half time 0-1).

Did the Atlanta Utd vs New York Red Bulls tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.