Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers: prediction, tips and stats
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- Referee:
- Christopher Penso
Our tips
Tip in 22h 39mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%65%O2.569%63%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Portland Timbers1:1Los Angeles GalaxyD
- Los Angeles Galaxy2:4Portland TimbersL
- Portland Timbers1:1Los Angeles GalaxyD
- Portland Timbers4:2Los Angeles GalaxyL
- Los Angeles Galaxy3:2Portland TimbersW
Los Angeles Galaxy's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 4.1under 4.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
RefereeC. Penso+1.4 yellow cards vs average14 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.6total 3.6Attack/defence1.8 : 1.5total 3.3
Los Angeles Galaxy : Portland TimbersMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%1-0—2-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%1-07%2-06%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-02-0—2-06%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%84% | 84% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%69% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69%65% | 65% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%55% | 55% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 53%59% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47%41% | 41% |
| 1 – Los Angeles Galaxy win | 46%45% · Elo 44% | 45%· Elo 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31%37% | 37% |
| Both teams to score: no | 31%36% | 36% |
| 2 – Portland Timbers win | 30%32% · Elo 29% | 32%· Elo 29% |
| X – draw | 24%24% · Elo 27% | 24%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%16% | 16% |
Attack vs defence
Los Angeles Galaxy attack vs Portland Timbers defenceattack1495defence1466+29 pts to the attack
Portland Timbers attack vs Los Angeles Galaxy defenceattack1500defence1426+74 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 50%
We expect 9.7 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.562%55%
9.550%44%
10.538%33%
11.528%25%
Each team on its own
Los Angeles Galaxywe expect 5.3, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 43%
Portland Timberswe expect 4.6, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 74%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 26%
We expect 18.4 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.532%53%
21.526%46%
22.520%40%
23.516%35%
Each team on its own
Los Angeles Galaxywe expect 10.1, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Portland Timberswe expect 8.9, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 29%
Referee: 21.4 fouls per match on average (154 matches in our data)−1.0 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.562%59%
3.541%39%
4.523%20%
5.511%11%
Each team on its own
Los Angeles Galaxywe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Portland Timberswe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Los Angeles Galaxy concede 2.1 goals per game
- Portland Timbers concede 2.1 goals per game
- Portland Timbers: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Los Angeles Galaxy played 3 days ago
- Portland Timbers: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39:50 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 33 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
Los Angeles Galaxy are the favourites. Chances: Los Angeles Galaxy win 46%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers win 30%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
Expected goals: 3.6 (Los Angeles Galaxy 2.0, Portland Timbers 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 69%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
The chance that both teams score is 69%.
When is Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
The MLS match kicks off 15 October 2026, 03:30 (UK time).
Who is the referee for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
The referee is Christopher Penso. In 14 matches in our data they showed 5.4 yellow cards a match on average.