St. Louis City 6-2 Los Angeles Galaxy: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Energizer Park, St. Louis, MO
Referee:
Joseph Dickerson

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon63%

St. Louis City: scored in each of their last 17 league matches

Other tips

  • Match Result: St. Louis CityWon64%

    St. Louis City: won 7 of their last 10 league matches at home; won 6 of their last 10 league matches

  • Fouls: Over 21.5Lost59%

    referee Joseph Dickerson averages 24.9 fouls a match, league average 21.2; our numbers: 23.1 fouls against a league average of 21.2

  • Shots on Target – St. Louis City: Over 5.5Won59%

    our numbers for St. Louis City: 6.4 shots on target against a league average of 5.1; St. Louis City: over 5.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Los Angeles Galaxy's opponents had over 5.5 in 5 of 10 (41% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSt. Louis City147665%52%Draw18%26%Los Angeles Galaxy138416%23%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%61%O2.569%62%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Los Angeles Galaxy1:3St. Louis CityW
  2. St. Louis City3:3Los Angeles GalaxyD
  3. Los Angeles Galaxy0:3St. Louis CityW
  4. St. Louis City2:1Los Angeles GalaxyW
  5. Los Angeles Galaxy3:3St. Louis CityD
St. Louis City's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 5
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4
RefereeJ. Dickerson0.0 yellow cards vs average14 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%11:1coverageleague 55% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.2total 3.6Attack/defence2.0 : 1.2total 3.2
St. Louis City : Los Angeles Galaxy
Most likely scores
Market1-18%2-19%2-08%3-18%1-0—3-07%1-2—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-08%3-16%1-08%3-0—1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-08%2-08%3-13-18%3-16%1-01-0—1-08%3-03-07%3-0—1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%82%82%
1X – home team avoid defeat83%77%77%
12 – no draw81%77%77%
Over 2.5 goals69%62%62%
1 – St. Louis City win65%54% · Elo 52%54%· Elo 52%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes63%61%61%
Under 3.5 goals52%61%61%
Over 3.5 goals48%39%39%
Both teams to score: no37%39%39%
X2 – away team avoid defeat34%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals31%39%39%
X – draw18%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
2 – Los Angeles Galaxy win16%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals12%18%18%
Attack vs defence
St. Louis City attack vs Los Angeles Galaxy defenceattack1523defence1443+80 pts to the attack
Los Angeles Galaxy attack vs St. Louis City defenceattack1493defence1518−25 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 9.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.563%55%
9.551%44%
10.539%33%
11.528%25%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
St. Louis Citywe expect 6.4, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 59%
Los Angeles Galaxywe expect 3.8, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 23.1 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.566%53%
21.559%46%
22.552%40%
23.545%35%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
St. Louis Citywe expect 11.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Los Angeles Galaxywe expect 9.9, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Referee: 24.9 fouls per match on average (154 matches in our data)+2.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 64%close to the league averageunderover 36%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.558%59%
3.536%39%
4.519%20%
5.59%11%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
St. Louis Citywe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Los Angeles Galaxywe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 43%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • St. Louis City score 2.5 goals per game
  • St. Louis City: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • St. Louis City: unbeaten in 17 matches
  • St. Louis City: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • St. Louis City: 11 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Western Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2St. Louis City28148654:3850
9Los Angeles Galaxy29991139:5036
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

St. Louis City 6-2 Los Angeles Galaxy (half time 5-1).

Did the St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.