New York Red Bulls 0-3 St. Louis City: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Sport Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
Referee:
Rubiel Vazquez

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost67%

St. Louis City: scored in each of their last 16 league matches

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – New York Red Bulls: Under 4.5Won62%

    New York Red Bulls: 3.6 shots on target a match, St. Louis City's opponents had 3.0 on average, league average 5.0; under 4.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 10 league matches, St. Louis City's opponents had under 4.5 in 8 of 10 (47% of league matches)

  • Fouls – St. Louis City: Over 10.5Won62%

    our numbers for St. Louis City: 11.9 fouls against a league average of 10.4; St. Louis City: 14.3 fouls a match, league average 10.4

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNew York Red Bulls137725%36%Draw22%28%St. Louis City147652%36%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%58%O2.567%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.3under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 2
RefereeR. Vazquez−0.2 cards vs average17 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)69%21:12:2coverageleague 46%covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 2.1total 3.5Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
New York Red Bulls : St. Louis City
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-29%2-1—1-0—0-1—0-27%2-27%2-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-09%0-17%0-2—2-2—2-07%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-1—2-19%1-01-0—1-09%0-10-1—0-17%0-20-27%0-2—2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-07%1-31-36%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%78%78%
12 – no draw77%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat74%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals67%54%54%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes67%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals54%68%68%
2 – St. Louis City win52%32% · Elo 36%32%· Elo 36%
1X – home team avoid defeat47%68%68%
Over 3.5 goals46%32%32%
Under 2.5 goals33%46%46%
Both teams to score: no33%42%42%
1 – New York Red Bulls win25%42% · Elo 36%42%· Elo 36%
X – draw22%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals13%22%22%
Attack vs defence
New York Red Bulls attack vs St. Louis City defenceattack1461defence1505−44 pts to the attack
St. Louis City attack vs New York Red Bulls defenceattack1513defence1489+24 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 9.0 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.554%53%
9.541%42%
10.530%32%
11.521%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
New York Red Bullswe expect 4.1, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 24%
St. Louis Citywe expect 4.7, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 22.7 in this match, 21.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.563%53%
21.556%45%
22.549%39%
23.542%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
New York Red Bullswe expect 11.6, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 59%
St. Louis Citywe expect 11.9, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 62%
Referee: 21.7 fouls per match on average (150 matches in our data)−0.7 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 65%close to the league averageunderover 35%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.557%59%
3.535%39%
4.518%20%
5.59%10%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
New York Red Bullswe expect 1.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
St. Louis Citywe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 44%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • St. Louis City score 2.3 goals per game
  • St. Louis City: unbeaten in 16 matches
  • St. Louis City: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • New York Red Bulls: 12 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • St. Louis City: 11 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8New York Red BullsEastern Conference281061238:5236
2St. Louis CityWestern Conference28148654:3850
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City?

New York Red Bulls 0-3 St. Louis City (half time 0-1).

Did the New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.