St. Louis City 3-1 Toronto FC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Energizer Park, St. Louis, MO
Referee:
Lukasz Szpala

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon63%

goals at both ends in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (63% of league matches); St. Louis City: scored in each of their last 15 league matches

Other tips

  • Match Result: St. Louis CityWon60%

    St. Louis City: won 7 of their last 10 league matches at home; won 6 of their last 10 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSt. Louis City147660%54%Draw21%25%Toronto FC134919%21%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%55%O2.566%53%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Toronto FC0:1St. Louis CityW
St. Louis City's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses1.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.3under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 4
RefereeL. Szpalafirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.2total 3.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
St. Louis City : Toronto FC
Most likely scores
Market1-19%1-07%2-110%2-08%3-17%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%3-1—0-06%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-112%1-01-07%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-08%2-09%3-13-17%3-1—0-00-0—0-06%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%77%77%
12 – no draw79%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals66%53%53%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes63%55%55%
1 – St. Louis City win60%52% · Elo 54%52%· Elo 54%
Under 3.5 goals55%69%69%
Over 3.5 goals45%31%31%
X2 – away team avoid defeat40%48%48%
Both teams to score: no37%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals34%47%47%
X – draw21%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
2 – Toronto FC win19%23% · Elo 21%23%· Elo 21%
Under 1.5 goals14%23%23%
Attack vs defence
St. Louis City attack vs Toronto FC defenceattack1508defence1481+27 pts to the attack
Toronto FC attack vs St. Louis City defenceattack1426defence1505−79 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • St. Louis City score 2.3 goals per game
  • St. Louis City: unbeaten in 15 matches
  • St. Louis City: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • St. Louis City: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Toronto FC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2St. Louis CityWestern Conference28148654:3850
11Toronto FCEastern Conference287111041:5232
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of St. Louis City vs Toronto FC?

St. Louis City 3-1 Toronto FC (half time 1-0).

Did the St. Louis City vs Toronto FC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.