Minnesota United 3-3 Orlando City: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN
Referee:
Allen Chapman

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon64%

goals at both ends in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won64%

    referee Allen Chapman averages 3.3 cards a match, league average 4.3; our numbers: 3.9 cards against a league average of 4.3

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMinnesota United140753%47%Draw23%27%Orlando City144024%26%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%58%O2.564%57%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Orlando City2:3Minnesota UnitedW
  2. Minnesota United1:2Orlando CityL
  3. Orlando City3:1Minnesota UnitedL
  4. Minnesota United1:1Orlando CityD
  5. Orlando City1:2Minnesota UnitedW
Minnesota United's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.3under 4.5: 64%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 4
RefereeA. Chapman−1.0 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.3total 3.3Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.0
Minnesota United : Orlando City
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-07%2-07%1-2—3-16%Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-26%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-2—1-26%3-13-16%3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%80%80%
12 – no draw77%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat76%75%75%
Over 2.5 goals64%57%57%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes64%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals58%65%65%
1 – Minnesota United win53%52% · Elo 47%52%· Elo 47%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals42%35%35%
Under 2.5 goals36%43%43%
Both teams to score: no36%42%42%
2 – Orlando City win24%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
X – draw23%24% · Elo 27%24%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals15%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Minnesota United attack vs Orlando City defenceattack1501defence1437+64 pts to the attack
Orlando City attack vs Minnesota United defenceattack1539defence1555−16 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Minnesota United: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Minnesota United: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Orlando City: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Minnesota UnitedWestern Conference28791242:5130
7Orlando CityEastern Conference281141351:6637
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Minnesota United vs Orlando City?

Minnesota United 3-3 Orlando City (half time 0-1).

Did the Minnesota United vs Orlando City tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.