Minnesota United 1-2 Atlanta Utd: prediction, tips and result

Thursday 20 August · 01:30

Minnesota United

1-1 1-2 0-0 1-1 1-1

1-2Full time(half time 0-1)

Atlanta Utd

2-1 2-3 1-4 2-2 0-1

Stadium:: Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN (attendance: 19,210)
Referee:: Joshua Encarnacion

The match in numbers

1X2EloMinnesota United140758%59%Draw22%23%Atlanta Utd131920%18%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%50%O2.561%49%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

04/05/202404/05/24Atlanta Utd1:2Minnesota UnitedW
29/05/201929/05/19Atlanta Utd3:0Minnesota UnitedL
01/04/201801/04/18Minnesota United0:1Atlanta UtdL
03/10/201703/10/17Atlanta Utd2:3Minnesota UnitedW
12/03/201712/03/17Minnesota United1:6Atlanta UtdL

Minnesota United's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.8 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10

Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.4under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 7

RefereeJ. Encarnacion+0.6 cards vs average2 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market2.0 : 1.1total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.6

Minnesota United : Atlanta Utd

Most likely scores

Market1-110%1-08%2-09%2-110%0-0—3-17%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-010%2-110%0-08%3-1—0-16%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-01-08%1-012%2-02-09%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-08%3-13-17%3-1—0-10-1—0-16%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	83%74%	74%
1X – home team avoid defeat	80%79%	79%
12 – no draw	78%75%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	61%49%	49%
Under 3.5 goals	61%73%	73%
Both teams to score: yes	59%50%	50%
1 – Minnesota United win	58%55% · Elo 59%	55%· Elo 59%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	42%45%	45%
Both teams to score: no	41%50%	50%
Under 2.5 goals	39%51%	51%
Over 3.5 goals	39%27%	27%
X – draw	22%25% · Elo 23%	25%· Elo 23%
2 – Atlanta Utd win	20%21% · Elo 18%	21%· Elo 18%
Under 1.5 goals	17%26%	26%

Attack vs defence

Minnesota United attack vs Atlanta Utd defenceattack1484defence1463+21 pts to the attack

Atlanta Utd attack vs Minnesota United defenceattack1418defence1558−140 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Minnesota United: no win in 8 matches
Minnesota United: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Minnesota United: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Atlanta Utd: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form