San Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 23 August · 03:30

San Jose Earthquakes

0-4 1-1 2-4 1-3 0-1

1-5Full time(half time 1-3)

Minnesota United

1-2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1-2

Stadium:: PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Referee:: Jair Antonio Marrufo

Our tips

Main tip

Cards: Under 4.5Won67%

referee Jair Antonio Marrufo averages 2.1 cards a match, league average 4.4; our numbers: 3.8 cards against a league average of 4.4

Other tips

Both Teams To Score: YesWon66%
goals at both ends in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (63% of league matches)

For the brave

Cards: Under 3.5Won48%

referee Jair Antonio Marrufo averages 2.1 cards a match, league average 4.4; our numbers: 3.8 cards against a league average of 4.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSan Jose Earthquakes140340%39%Draw25%28%Minnesota United140735%33%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%57%O2.565%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

13/07/202513/07/25Minnesota United4:1San Jose EarthquakesL
09/03/202509/03/25San Jose Earthquakes0:1Minnesota UnitedL
01/09/202401/09/24San Jose Earthquakes1:2Minnesota UnitedL
21/07/202421/07/24Minnesota United2:0San Jose EarthquakesL
01/10/202301/10/23Minnesota United1:1San Jose EarthquakesD

San Jose Earthquakes's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses2.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6

Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.4under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 1

RefereeJ. Antonio Marrufo−2.8 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.7 : 1.6total 3.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8

San Jose Earthquakes : Minnesota United

Most likely scores

Market1-111%2-19%1-05%1-28%0-1—2-0—2-27%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-17%2-07%2-2—

MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-05%1-09%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-1—0-17%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-27%2-2—

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	85%77%	77%
12 – no draw	75%74%	74%
Both teams to score: yes	66%57%	57%
1X – home team avoid defeat	65%69%	69%
Over 2.5 goals	65%54%	54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	60%57%	57%
Under 3.5 goals	57%69%	69%
Over 3.5 goals	43%31%	31%
1 – San Jose Earthquakes win	40%43% · Elo 39%	43%· Elo 39%
2 – Minnesota United win	35%31% · Elo 33%	31%· Elo 33%
Under 2.5 goals	35%46%	46%
Both teams to score: no	34%43%	43%
X – draw	25%26% · Elo 28%	26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals	15%23%	23%

Attack vs defence

San Jose Earthquakes attack vs Minnesota United defenceattack1529defence1553−24 pts to the attack

Minnesota United attack vs San Jose Earthquakes defenceattack1482defence1454+28 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

San Jose Earthquakes concede 2.2 goals per game
Minnesota United: no win in 9 matches
San Jose Earthquakes: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Minnesota United: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
San Jose Earthquakes played 3 days ago
Minnesota United: 3 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form