MLS

New York City 1-2 New England Revolution: prediction, tips and result

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New York City
2-31-21-11-10-0
1-2Full time(half time 0-1)
New England Revolution
1-23-11-13-01-2
Stadium:
Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
Referee:
Allen Chapman

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Lost62%

under 10.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (58% of league matches); 7.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.1 in the visitors', league average 10.0

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won65%

    referee Allen Chapman averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 4.4; our numbers: 3.9 cards against a league average of 4.4

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon61%

    goals at both ends in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (63% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloNew York City144536%51%Draw27%26%New England Revolution139338%23%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%53%O2.557%50%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. New England Revolution1:1New York CityD
  2. New England Revolution2:0New York CityL
  3. New York City2:1New England RevolutionW
  4. New England Revolution0:1New York CityW
  5. New York City2:0New England RevolutionW
New York City's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.0under 10.5: 62%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.4under 4.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 2
RefereeA. Chapman−1.0 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.5total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
New York City : New England Revolution
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%2-18%2-0—1-28%0-0—0-17%Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%1-2—0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-07%1-011%2-12-18%2-110%2-02-0—2-09%1-21-28%1-2—0-00-0—0-07%0-10-17%0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%75%75%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals66%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%51%51%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%75%75%
Both teams to score: yes61%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals57%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals43%50%50%
Both teams to score: no39%47%47%
2 – New England Revolution win38%25% · Elo 23%25%· Elo 23%
1 – New York City win36%49% · Elo 51%49%· Elo 51%
Over 3.5 goals34%28%28%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals20%25%25%
Attack vs defence
New York City attack vs New England Revolution defenceattack1491defence1508−17 pts to the attack
New England Revolution attack vs New York City defenceattack1491defence1569−78 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • New England Revolution matches average only 2.9 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • New York City matches average only 7.6 corners (league 10.0) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • New York City: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • New England Revolution: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

New York City

New England Revolution

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4New England Revolution281441045:3946
10New York City28891142:3833
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of New York City vs New England Revolution?

New York City 1-2 New England Revolution (half time 0-1).

Did the New York City vs New England Revolution tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip lost.

See also