San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 0hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%55%O2.558%52%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2
H2Hlast 3 meetings
- Houston Dynamo1:0San Diego FCL
- Houston Dynamo2:4San Diego FCW
- San Diego FC3:4Houston DynamoL
San Diego FC's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses4.7 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.0under 10.5: 62%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
San Diego FC : Houston DynamoMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%2-19%2-07%1-28%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-08%1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-07%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-28%1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%52% | 52% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%53% | 53% |
| 1 – San Diego FC win | 43%47% · Elo 43% | 47%· Elo 43% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%30% | 30% |
| 2 – Houston Dynamo win | 31%27% · Elo 30% | 27%· Elo 30% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
San Diego FC attack vs Houston Dynamo defenceattack1545defence1581−36 pts to the attack
Houston Dynamo attack vs San Diego FC defenceattack1410defence1467−57 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 8.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.552%55%
9.539%44%
10.528%33%
11.519%25%
Each team on its own
San Diego FCwe expect 4.5, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 31%
Houston Dynamowe expect 4.0, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 22.1 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.559%53%
21.552%46%
22.545%40%
23.538%35%
Each team on its own
San Diego FCwe expect 11.7, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 60%
Houston Dynamowe expect 10.5, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 48%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 65%close to the league averageunderover 36%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.557%59%
3.536%39%
4.519%20%
5.59%11%
Each team on its own
San Diego FCwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Houston Dynamowe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- San Diego FC concede 2.2 goals per game
- San Diego FC: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- San Diego FC: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Houston Dynamo: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 45 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48:51 | 32 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo?
San Diego FC are the favourites. Chances: San Diego FC win 43%, draw 26%, Houston Dynamo win 31%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo?
Expected goals: 3.0 (San Diego FC 1.6, Houston Dynamo 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 58%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo?
The chance that both teams score is 61%.
When is San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo?
The MLS match kicks off 15 October 2026, 03:30 (UK time).