Seattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt Lake: prediction, tips and result

Thursday 24 September · 02:30

Seattle Sounders

1-1 2-2 0-0 1-1 3-3

2-0Full time(half time 0-0)

Real Salt Lake

0-3 0-2 1-2 2-2 0-1

Stadium:: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Referee:: Joseph Dickerson

Our tips

Main tip

Cards: Under 4.5Lost60%

under 4.5 cards in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (55% of league matches)

Other tips

Corners: Over 9.5Won57%
10.3 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.7 in the visitors', league average 10.0

For the brave

Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSeattle Sounders146553%50%Draw24%26%Real Salt Lake137523%24%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%51%O2.564%49%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

01/03/202601/03/26Real Salt Lake2:1Seattle SoundersL
12/10/202512/10/25Seattle Sounders1:0Real Salt LakeW
01/03/202501/03/25Real Salt Lake2:0Seattle SoundersL
30/05/202430/05/24Seattle Sounders1:1Real Salt LakeD
16/05/202416/05/24Real Salt Lake2:0Seattle SoundersL

Seattle Sounders's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.0 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0over 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 13

Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.3under 4.5: 60%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 6

RefereeJ. Dickerson−0.1 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market2.0 : 1.3total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6

Seattle Sounders : Real Salt Lake

Most likely scores

Market1-110%1-07%2-110%2-07%0-0—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-08%0-17%3-1—

MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-01-07%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-07%2-09%0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-17%3-13-16%3-1—

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	85%74%	74%
1X – home team avoid defeat	77%76%	76%
12 – no draw	76%74%	74%
Over 2.5 goals	64%49%	49%
Both teams to score: yes	63%51%	51%
Under 3.5 goals	58%73%	73%
1 – Seattle Sounders win	53%51% · Elo 50%	51%· Elo 50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	47%49%	49%
Over 3.5 goals	42%27%	27%
Both teams to score: no	37%49%	49%
Under 2.5 goals	36%51%	51%
X – draw	24%26% · Elo 26%	26%· Elo 26%
2 – Real Salt Lake win	23%24% · Elo 24%	24%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals	15%26%	26%

Attack vs defence

Seattle Sounders attack vs Real Salt Lake defenceattack1489defence1503−14 pts to the attack

Real Salt Lake attack vs Seattle Sounders defenceattack1443defence1556−113 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Real Salt Lake concede 2.0 goals per game
Seattle Sounders matches average only 2.6 cards (league 4.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
Seattle Sounders: no win in 13 matches
Real Salt Lake: no win in 12 matches
Real Salt Lake: only 3 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Seattle Sounders: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Seattle Sounders: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Real Salt Lake: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

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