USL ChampionshipMatchday 611
Charleston vs Rhode Island FC: prediction, tips and stats
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1.4:1.0Pre-match
Our tips
Tip in 1d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS56%49%O2.552%44%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Charleston2:0Rhode Island FCW
- Rhode Island FC4:0CharlestonL
- Charleston0:0Rhode Island FCD
- Rhode Island FC1:0CharlestonL
- Charleston2:0Rhode Island FCW
Charleston's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.0league 9.2under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellows
4.0league 4.2under 4.5: 64%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.Referee
no referee dataPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.2total 2.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.5
Charleston : Rhode Island FCMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-19%0-07%2-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-19%0-09%2-09%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-012%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-07%0-09%2-02-08%2-09%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%77% | 77% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56%49% | 49% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 53%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%44% | 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Charleston win | 47%46% · Elo 51% | 46%· Elo 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 44%51% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%23% | 23% |
| 2 – Rhode Island FC win | 27%26% · Elo 24% | 26%· Elo 24% |
| X – draw | 26%27% · Elo 26% | 27%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%30% | 30% |
Attack vs defence
Charleston attack vs Rhode Island FC defenceattack1624defence1612+12 pts to the attack
Rhode Island FC attack vs Charleston defenceattack1528defence1579−51 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.560%59%
7.546%48%
8.533%32%
9.522%26%
Each team on its own
Charlestonwe expect 4.2, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Rhode Island FCwe expect 2.9, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 23.6 in this match, 23.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.555%56%
23.549%48%
24.542%44%
25.536%38%
Each team on its own
Charlestonwe expect 10.4, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 35%
Rhode Island FCwe expect 13.4, league average 11.7 · chance of over 11.5: 66%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.560%57%
3.538%39%
4.521%18%
5.510%14%
Each team on its own
Charlestonwe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Rhode Island FCwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Charleston matches average only 2.6 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Charleston: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Rhode Island FC: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleston | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56:35 | 53 |
| 7 | Rhode Island FC | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:33 | 42 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Charleston vs Rhode Island FC?
Charleston are the favourites. Chances: Charleston win 47%, draw 26%, Rhode Island FC win 27%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Charleston vs Rhode Island FC?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Charleston 1.6, Rhode Island FC 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Charleston vs Rhode Island FC?
The chance that both teams score is 56%.
When is Charleston vs Rhode Island FC?
The USL Championship match kicks off 30 October 2026, 23:00 (UK time).
See also
- USL Championship: table, fixtures and results
- USL Championship stats: over/under, BTTS, corners and cards
- All matches that day
- The clubs' other match this season: Rhode Island FC 4-0 Charleston ()
- The clubs' other match this season: Charleston 2-0 Rhode Island FC ()
- Charleston: Elo rating
- Rhode Island FC: Elo rating