Rhode Island FC vs Pittsburgh: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 19hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%37%O2.543%30%|exp. goals 1.1 : 0.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Pittsburgh0:1Rhode Island FCW
- Pittsburgh1:0Rhode Island FCL
- Pittsburgh2:0Rhode Island FCL
- Rhode Island FC0:1PittsburghL
- Pittsburgh2:0Rhode Island FCL
Rhode Island FC's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 9.2under 9.5: 62%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.2under 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.1 : 0.8total 1.9
Rhode Island FC : PittsburghMost likely scores
Market1-013%0-010%1-113%0-1—2-010%2-19%Attack/defence1-017%0-015%1-113%0-111%2-010%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-017%0-00-010%0-015%1-11-113%1-113%0-10-1—0-111%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%87% | 87% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%68% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%57% | 57% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: no | 54%63% | 63% |
| 1 – Rhode Island FC win | 51%44% · Elo 44% | 44%· Elo 44% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46%37% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%30% | 30% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%43% | 43% |
| X – draw | 27%32% · Elo 27% | 32%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Pittsburgh win | 22%25% · Elo 29% | 25%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%13% | 13% |
Attack vs defence
Rhode Island FC attack vs Pittsburgh defenceattack1526defence1654−128 pts to the attack
Pittsburgh attack vs Rhode Island FC defenceattack1404defence1610−206 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 68%close to the league averageunderover 32%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.546%51%
8.533%34%
9.522%28%
10.514%24%
Each team on its own
Rhode Island FCwe expect 4.0, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Pittsburghwe expect 3.0, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 22.5 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.555%63%
22.548%52%
23.541%46%
24.534%41%
Each team on its own
Rhode Island FCwe expect 11.4, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 46%
Pittsburghwe expect 11.1, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.577%70%
2.553%55%
3.531%39%
4.516%17%
Each team on its own
Rhode Island FCwe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Pittsburghwe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Pittsburgh matches average only 3.0 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Pittsburgh matches average only 6.7 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Rhode Island FC played 3 days ago
- Pittsburgh: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pittsburgh | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Rhode Island FC | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rhode Island FC vs Pittsburgh?
Rhode Island FC are the favourites. Chances: Rhode Island FC win 51%, draw 27%, Pittsburgh win 22%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Rhode Island FC vs Pittsburgh?
Expected goals: 2.4 (Rhode Island FC 1.5, Pittsburgh 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 43%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Rhode Island FC vs Pittsburgh?
The chance that both teams score is 46%.
When is Rhode Island FC vs Pittsburgh?
The USL Championship match kicks off 18 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).