Miami 2-2 Pittsburgh: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium, Miami, FL

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 9.561%

9.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 6.8 in the visitors', league average 9.2

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.557%

    under 4.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.549%

9.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 6.8 in the visitors', league average 9.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMiami139128%24%Draw29%26%Pittsburgh152744%50%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%40%O2.545%33%|exp. goals 0.9 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Pittsburgh2:0MiamiL
  2. Miami3:1PittsburghW
  3. Pittsburgh1:1MiamiD
  4. Miami0:4PittsburghL
  5. Pittsburgh1:0MiamiL
Miami's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 9.2under 9.5: 61%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.4total 2.5Attack/defence0.9 : 1.1total 2.0
Miami : Pittsburgh
Most likely scores
Market0-111%1-114%0-010%1-0—1-29%0-28%Attack/defence0-115%1-114%0-014%1-012%1-28%0-29%
MarketAttack/defence0-10-111%0-115%1-11-114%1-114%0-00-010%0-014%1-01-0—1-012%1-21-29%1-28%0-20-28%0-29%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals77%85%85%
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%72%72%
12 – no draw72%69%69%
Over 1.5 goals71%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat57%59%59%
Under 2.5 goals55%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes50%40%40%
Both teams to score: no50%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%33%33%
2 – Pittsburgh win44%41% · Elo 50%41%· Elo 50%
X – draw29%31% · Elo 26%31%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals29%40%40%
1 – Miami win28%28% · Elo 24%28%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals23%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Miami attack vs Pittsburgh defenceattack1409defence1660−251 pts to the attack
Pittsburgh attack vs Miami defenceattack1406defence1396+10 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Miami concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Pittsburgh matches average only 2.7 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Pittsburgh matches average only 6.8 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Miami: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Pittsburgh: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Pittsburgh281251130:2841
8Miami29991138:4736
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Miami vs Pittsburgh?

Miami 2-2 Pittsburgh (half time 1-1).