Miami 0-1 Las Vegas Lights: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium, Miami, FL

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost57%

over 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost35%

over 3.5 goals in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMiami139141%39%Draw25%28%Las Vegas Lights140933%33%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%50%O2.557%44%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Las Vegas Lights0:0MiamiD
  2. Las Vegas Lights3:1MiamiL
  3. Miami4:1Las Vegas LightsW
  4. Las Vegas Lights3:2MiamiL
Miami's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses3.5 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.2under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.6under 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 4
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.5
Miami : Las Vegas Lights
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%0-1—2-19%0-0—1-28%2-06%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-19%2-19%0-09%1-2—2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-07%1-011%0-10-1—0-19%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-0—0-09%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-06%2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%70%70%
12 – no draw74%72%72%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%69%69%
Under 3.5 goals65%77%77%
Both teams to score: yes61%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%59%59%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals57%44%44%
Under 2.5 goals43%56%56%
1 – Miami win41%41% · Elo 39%41%· Elo 39%
Both teams to score: no39%50%50%
Over 3.5 goals35%23%23%
2 – Las Vegas Lights win33%31% · Elo 33%31%· Elo 33%
X – draw25%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals19%30%30%
Attack vs defence
Miami attack vs Las Vegas Lights defenceattack1419defence1455−36 pts to the attack
Las Vegas Lights attack vs Miami defenceattack1413defence1407+6 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Las Vegas Lights played 3 days ago
  • Miami: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8MiamiEastern Conference29991138:4736
10Las Vegas LightsWestern Conference281061237:4136
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Miami vs Las Vegas Lights?

Miami 0-1 Las Vegas Lights (half time 0-1).

Did the Miami vs Las Vegas Lights tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.