USL Championship

Orange County 1-0 Pittsburgh: prediction, tips and result

·

Orange County
1-51-11-10-20-6
1-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Pittsburgh
0-11-02-20-01-2
Stadium:
Championship Soccer Stadium at the Orange County Great Park, Irvine, CA

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won59%

3.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.7 in the visitors', league average 4.4; under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Under 2.5Won61%

    under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won41%

under 3.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (34% of league matches); 3.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.7 in the visitors', league average 4.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloOrange County144131%34%Draw29%28%Pittsburgh152739%38%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%42%O2.539%34%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Pittsburgh1:1Orange CountyD
  2. Pittsburgh0:2Orange CountyW
  3. Orange County1:0PittsburghW
  4. Pittsburgh1:1Orange CountyD
Orange County's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.2under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.4under 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 3
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)73%1X0:1coverageleague 81% · H2H 4/4covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.2total 2.2Attack/defence1.0 : 1.0total 2.1
Orange County : Pittsburgh
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-012%0-112%1-010%1-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-114%0-013%0-113%1-013%1-27%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-00-012%0-013%0-10-112%0-113%1-01-010%1-013%1-21-28%1-27%2-12-1—2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals81%85%85%
12 – no draw70%69%69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat68%66%66%
Over 1.5 goals67%61%61%
Under 2.5 goals61%66%66%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%65%65%
Both teams to score: no54%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes46%42%42%
2 – Pittsburgh win39%35% · Elo 38%35%· Elo 38%
Over 2.5 goals39%34%34%
Under 1.5 goals33%39%39%
1 – Orange County win31%34% · Elo 34%34%· Elo 34%
X – draw29%31% · Elo 28%31%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals19%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Orange County attack vs Pittsburgh defenceattack1473defence1655−182 pts to the attack
Pittsburgh attack vs Orange County defenceattack1401defence1444−43 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Orange County concede 2.4 goals per game
  • Pittsburgh matches average only 2.7 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Orange County matches average 11.9 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Orange County: no win in 7 matches
  • Orange County: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Pittsburgh: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Orange County

Pittsburgh

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Orange CountyWestern Conference28109937:4439
4PittsburghEastern Conference281251130:2841
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Orange County vs Pittsburgh?

Orange County 1-0 Pittsburgh (half time 0-0).

Did the Orange County vs Pittsburgh tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.

See also