Rhode Island FC vs Loudoun United FC: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 21h 27m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloRhode Island FC153862%56%Draw21%24%Loudoun United FC141818%20%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%49%O2.559%48%|exp. goals 1.7 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Loudoun United FC1:4Rhode Island FCW
  2. Rhode Island FC0:0Loudoun United FCD
  3. Loudoun United FC2:0Rhode Island FCL
  4. Rhode Island FC0:0Loudoun United FCD
  5. Loudoun United FC0:0Rhode Island FCD
Rhode Island FC's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.2under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.2under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.0total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 0.9total 2.6
Rhode Island FC : Loudoun United FC
Most likely scores
Market1-09%1-110%2-010%2-110%0-0—3-17%0-1—Attack/defence1-012%1-112%2-011%2-110%0-08%3-1—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-09%1-012%1-11-110%1-112%2-02-010%2-011%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-08%3-13-17%3-1—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat83%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals82%73%73%
12 – no draw80%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals63%74%74%
1 – Rhode Island FC win62%55% · Elo 56%55%· Elo 56%
Over 2.5 goals59%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes56%49%49%
Both teams to score: no44%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals41%52%52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals37%26%26%
X – draw21%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
2 – Loudoun United FC win18%20% · Elo 20%20%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals18%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Rhode Island FC attack vs Loudoun United FC defenceattack1526defence1443+83 pts to the attack
Loudoun United FC attack vs Rhode Island FC defenceattack1498defence1610−112 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 8.0 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.554%51%
8.541%34%
9.529%28%
10.519%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rhode Island FCwe expect 4.3, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Loudoun United FCwe expect 3.6, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 48%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 54%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 22.3 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.553%63%
22.546%52%
23.540%46%
24.533%41%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rhode Island FCwe expect 11.3, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 46%
Loudoun United FCwe expect 10.9, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 41%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.578%70%
2.555%55%
3.533%39%
4.517%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rhode Island FCwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Loudoun United FCwe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 42%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Rhode Island FC271151139:3038
10Loudoun United FC275121034:4427
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Rhode Island FC vs Loudoun United FC?

Rhode Island FC are the favourites. Chances: Rhode Island FC win 62%, draw 21%, Loudoun United FC win 18%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Rhode Island FC vs Loudoun United FC?

Expected goals: 3.1 (Rhode Island FC 2.1, Loudoun United FC 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Rhode Island FC vs Loudoun United FC?

The chance that both teams score is 56%.

When is Rhode Island FC vs Loudoun United FC?

The USL Championship match kicks off 15 October 2026, 00:30 (UK time).