Louisville City 2-1 Loudoun United FC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost59%

under 4.5 cards in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches); 3.1 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.2 in the visitors', league average 4.4

Other tips

  • Match Result: Louisville CityWon67%

    Louisville City: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; Loudoun United FC: winless in their last 6 league matches

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won63%

    our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost41%

under 3.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (34% of league matches); 3.1 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.2 in the visitors', league average 4.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLouisville City160867%66%Draw18%20%Loudoun United FC141814%14%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%56%O2.563%61%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Loudoun United FC3:3Louisville CityD
  2. Loudoun United FC1:4Louisville CityW
  3. Louisville City2:0Loudoun United FCW
  4. Louisville City1:0Loudoun United FCW
  5. Loudoun United FC0:1Louisville CityW
Louisville City's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.2under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.4under 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 5
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.0total 3.3Attack/defence2.2 : 1.0total 3.2
Louisville City : Loudoun United FC
Most likely scores
Market2-010%2-110%1-19%1-08%3-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%2-110%1-19%1-09%3-07%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-010%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-19%1-01-08%1-09%3-03-08%3-07%3-13-1—3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat85%84%84%
Over 1.5 goals84%82%82%
12 – no draw81%80%80%
1 – Louisville City win67%64% · Elo 66%64%· Elo 66%
Over 2.5 goals63%61%61%
Under 3.5 goals59%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes56%56%56%
Both teams to score: no44%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals41%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals37%39%39%
X2 – away team avoid defeat32%36%36%
X – draw18%20% · Elo 20%20%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals16%18%18%
2 – Loudoun United FC win14%16% · Elo 14%16%· Elo 14%
Attack vs defence
Louisville City attack vs Loudoun United FC defenceattack1642defence1417+225 pts to the attack
Loudoun United FC attack vs Louisville City defenceattack1480defence1553−73 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Louisville City matches average only 3.1 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Loudoun United FC matches average only 3.2 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Louisville City: only 12 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Louisville City: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Loudoun United FC: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Louisville City27117945:4240
10Loudoun United FC275121034:4427
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Louisville City vs Loudoun United FC?

Louisville City 2-1 Loudoun United FC (half time 2-1).

Did the Louisville City vs Loudoun United FC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.