Louisville City 1-2 El Paso Locomotive FC: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Lynn Family Stadium, Louisville, KY

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won59%

3.1 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.3 in the visitors', league average 4.4; under 4.5 cards in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won59%

    our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost40%

3.1 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.3 in the visitors', league average 4.4; under 3.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (34% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLouisville City160853%56%Draw24%24%El Paso Locomotive FC151023%20%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%54%O2.559%55%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
  1. El Paso Locomotive FC0:1Louisville CityW
  2. Louisville City0:3El Paso Locomotive FCL
  3. El Paso Locomotive FC0:1Louisville CityW
Louisville City's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss1.7 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.2under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.4under 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 4
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.2total 3.1Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
Louisville City : El Paso Locomotive FC
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-08%2-110%2-08%3-1—3-0—1-26%Attack/defence1-111%1-010%2-110%2-010%3-16%3-06%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-08%2-010%3-13-1—3-16%3-03-0—3-06%1-21-26%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat77%80%80%
12 – no draw76%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals63%68%68%
Over 2.5 goals59%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes59%54%54%
1 – Louisville City win53%57% · Elo 56%57%· Elo 56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals41%45%45%
Both teams to score: no41%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals37%32%32%
X – draw24%23% · Elo 24%23%· Elo 24%
2 – El Paso Locomotive FC win23%20% · Elo 20%20%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals18%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Louisville City attack vs El Paso Locomotive FC defenceattack1645defence1496+149 pts to the attack
El Paso Locomotive FC attack vs Louisville City defenceattack1505defence1559−54 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Louisville City matches average only 3.1 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • El Paso Locomotive FC concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • El Paso Locomotive FC: 6 wins in a row
  • El Paso Locomotive FC: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Louisville City: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • El Paso Locomotive FC: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Louisville CityEastern Conference27117945:4240
1El Paso Locomotive FCWestern Conference28155848:3650
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive FC?

Louisville City 1-2 El Paso Locomotive FC (half time 0-2).

Did the Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive FC tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.