Miami vs Charleston: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 16hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%55%O2.559%52%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.7
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Charleston5:0MiamiL
- Charleston3:0MiamiL
- Miami1:0CharlestonW
- Charleston2:0MiamiL
- Miami1:2CharlestonL
Miami's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 9.2under 9.5: 61%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.2under 4.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.1 : 1.7total 2.8
Miami : CharlestonMost likely scores
Market1-112%0-17%1-29%0-26%2-18%1-0—0-0—Attack/defence1-112%0-110%1-210%0-29%2-1—1-07%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%0-10-17%0-110%1-21-29%1-210%0-20-26%0-29%2-12-18%2-1—1-01-0—1-07%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%52% | 52% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 56%51% | 51% |
| 2 – Charleston win | 43%50% · Elo 52% | 50%· Elo 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%30% | 30% |
| 1 – Miami win | 31%25% · Elo 23% | 25%· Elo 23% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Miami attack vs Charleston defenceattack1432defence1569−137 pts to the attack
Charleston attack vs Miami defenceattack1641defence1432+209 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 7.8 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.552%51%
8.539%34%
9.527%28%
10.518%24%
Each team on its own
Miamiwe expect 4.4, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Charlestonwe expect 3.3, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 63%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 37%over
We expect 24.7 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.569%63%
22.563%52%
23.556%46%
24.549%41%
Each team on its own
Miamiwe expect 12.5, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 58%
Charlestonwe expect 12.5, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 57%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 57%close to the league averageunder 43%over
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.579%70%
2.557%55%
3.535%39%
4.519%17%
Each team on its own
Miamiwe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Charlestonwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Miami matches average only 6.9 corners (league 9.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Miami concede a lot late on: 14 of 33 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Charleston played 3 days ago
- Miami: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 8 | Miami | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Miami vs Charleston?
Charleston are the favourites. Chances: Miami win 31%, draw 25%, Charleston win 43%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Miami vs Charleston?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Miami 1.4, Charleston 1.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Miami vs Charleston?
The chance that both teams score is 62%.
When is Miami vs Charleston?
The USL Championship match kicks off 18 October 2026, 00:00 (UK time).