Hartford Athletic vs Charleston: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 20h 8mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%56%O2.556%52%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Charleston1:2Hartford AthleticW
- Hartford Athletic1:2CharlestonL
- Charleston4:2Hartford AthleticL
- Hartford Athletic2:2CharlestonD
- Charleston1:0Hartford AthleticL
Hartford Athletic's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.2under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.2under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.5total 2.8
Hartford Athletic : CharlestonMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%0-17%2-18%1-07%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-19%2-18%1-08%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%0-10-17%0-19%2-12-18%2-18%1-01-07%1-08%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66%70% | 70% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%66% | 66% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%44% | 44% |
| 2 – Charleston win | 39%40% · Elo 39% | 40%· Elo 39% |
| 1 – Hartford Athletic win | 35%34% · Elo 33% | 34%· Elo 33% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Hartford Athletic attack vs Charleston defenceattack1524defence1569−45 pts to the attack
Charleston attack vs Hartford Athletic defenceattack1641defence1502+139 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.555%51%
8.542%34%
9.530%28%
10.520%24%
Each team on its own
Hartford Athleticwe expect 4.2, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Charlestonwe expect 3.8, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 22.9 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.558%63%
22.551%52%
23.544%46%
24.537%41%
Each team on its own
Hartford Athleticwe expect 12.3, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 56%
Charlestonwe expect 10.6, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 38%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.579%70%
2.556%55%
3.534%39%
4.518%17%
Each team on its own
Hartford Athleticwe expect 2.0, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 58%
Charlestonwe expect 1.0, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 27%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Hartford Athletic: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Hartford Athletic: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Charleston: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Charleston?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Hartford Athletic win 35%, draw 26%, Charleston win 39%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Charleston?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Hartford Athletic 1.4, Charleston 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 56%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Hartford Athletic vs Charleston?
The chance that both teams score is 60%.
When is Hartford Athletic vs Charleston?
The USL Championship match kicks off 15 October 2026, 00:00 (UK time).