Hartford Athletic 3-1 Tampa Bay: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 13 September · 00:00

Hartford Athletic

1-1 2-1 3-2 2-1 1-1

3-1Full time(half time 1-0)

Tampa Bay

2-0 0-0 0-1 2-0 3-0

Stadium:: Dillon Stadium, Hartford, CT

The match in numbers

1X2EloHartford Athletic150627%34%Draw26%28%Tampa Bay156747%38%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%53%O2.553%48%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

13/06/202613/06/26Tampa Bay0:1Hartford AthleticW
18/10/202518/10/25Tampa Bay3:2Hartford AthleticL
16/07/202516/07/25Hartford Athletic0:1Tampa BayL
23/10/202423/10/24Tampa Bay2:2Hartford AthleticD
21/06/202421/06/24Hartford Athletic0:1Tampa BayL

Hartford Athletic's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match

Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.2under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6

Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 10

Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.2 : 1.6total 2.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6

Hartford Athletic : Tampa Bay

Most likely scores

Market1-113%0-19%1-0—1-29%2-1—0-28%0-07%Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-09%1-28%2-18%0-2—0-08%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-19%0-19%1-01-0—1-09%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-1—2-18%0-20-28%0-2—0-00-07%0-08%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	77%73%	73%
12 – no draw	74%73%	73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	73%64%	64%
Under 3.5 goals	70%73%	73%
Both teams to score: yes	56%53%	53%
1X – home team avoid defeat	53%63%	63%
Over 2.5 goals	53%48%	48%
2 – Tampa Bay win	47%37% · Elo 38%	37%· Elo 38%
Under 2.5 goals	47%52%	52%
Both teams to score: no	44%47%	47%
Over 3.5 goals	30%27%	27%
1 – Hartford Athletic win	27%36% · Elo 34%	36%· Elo 34%
X – draw	26%27% · Elo 28%	27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals	23%27%	27%

Attack vs defence

Hartford Athletic attack vs Tampa Bay defenceattack1499defence1543−44 pts to the attack

Tampa Bay attack vs Hartford Athletic defenceattack1604defence1515+89 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form