Hartford Athletic 3-2 Birmingham Legion FC: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 30 August · 00:00

Hartford Athletic

0-1 0-0 0-2 1-1 2-1

3-2Full time(half time 2-2)

Birmingham Legion FC

2-3 2-3 1-0 1-2 1-1

Stadium:: Dillon Stadium, Hartford, CT

Our tips

Main tip

Both Teams To Score: YesWon60%

Birmingham Legion FC: scored in each of their last 10 league matches

Other tips

Cards: Under 4.5Lost56%
3.4 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.4 in the visitors', league average 4.5

For the brave

Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHartford Athletic150651%53%Draw24%25%Birmingham Legion FC139925%22%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%51%O2.559%48%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

11/03/202611/03/26Birmingham Legion FC0:0Hartford AthleticD
10/08/202510/08/25Birmingham Legion FC1:4Hartford AthleticW
19/04/202519/04/25Hartford Athletic1:0Birmingham Legion FCW
03/08/202403/08/24Birmingham Legion FC2:2Hartford AthleticD
23/03/202423/03/24Hartford Athletic1:0Birmingham Legion FCW

Hartford Athletic's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.1over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11

Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.5under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 6

Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.8 : 1.2total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6

Hartford Athletic : Birmingham Legion FC

Most likely scores

Market1-111%1-08%2-110%2-08%0-0—0-1—1-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-110%2-010%0-08%0-17%1-2—

MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-08%1-012%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-08%2-010%0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-26%1-2—

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	82%73%	73%
12 – no draw	76%74%	74%
1X – home team avoid defeat	75%77%	77%
Under 3.5 goals	63%74%	74%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes	60%51%	51%
Over 2.5 goals	59%48%	48%
1 – Hartford Athletic win	51%51% · Elo 53%	51%· Elo 53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	49%49%	49%
Under 2.5 goals	41%52%	52%
Both teams to score: no	40%49%	49%
Over 3.5 goals	37%26%	26%
2 – Birmingham Legion FC win	25%24% · Elo 22%	24%· Elo 22%
X – draw	24%26% · Elo 25%	26%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals	18%27%	27%

Attack vs defence

Hartford Athletic attack vs Birmingham Legion FC defenceattack1483defence1416+67 pts to the attack

Birmingham Legion FC attack vs Hartford Athletic defenceattack1462defence1516−54 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Hartford Athletic: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
Hartford Athletic score only 0.6 goals per game
Birmingham Legion FC matches average 11.7 corners (league 9.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
Hartford Athletic matches average 11.3 corners (league 9.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
Birmingham Legion FC: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Birmingham Legion FC concede a lot late on: 11 of 27 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
Hartford Athletic: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Birmingham Legion FC: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form