USL ChampionshipMatchday 132
Charleston vs Hartford Athletic: prediction, tips and stats
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1.7:1.0Pre-match
Our tips
Tip in 5h 22mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS58%52%O2.558%51%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Hartford Athletic1:1CharlestonD
- Charleston1:2Hartford AthleticL
- Hartford Athletic1:2CharlestonW
- Charleston4:2Hartford AthleticW
- Hartford Athletic2:2CharlestonD
Charleston's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.3league 9.2under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellows
4.0league 4.2under 4.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.Referee
no referee dataPrediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.1total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Charleston : Hartford AthleticMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-09%2-110%2-09%0-0—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-010%0-07%0-16%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-010%0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-16%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Charleston win | 55%54% · Elo 52% | 54%· Elo 52% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 45%46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 23%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – Hartford Athletic win | 22%22% · Elo 23% | 22%· Elo 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Charleston attack vs Hartford Athletic defenceattack1620defence1502+118 pts to the attack
Hartford Athletic attack vs Charleston defenceattack1529defence1581−52 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 7.8 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.565%59%
7.551%48%
8.537%32%
9.526%27%
Each team on its own
Charlestonwe expect 4.7, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Hartford Athleticwe expect 3.1, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 22.5 in this match, 23.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.548%56%
23.541%49%
24.535%44%
25.529%38%
Each team on its own
Charlestonwe expect 9.7, league average 11.4 · chance of over 11.5: 29%
Hartford Athleticwe expect 12.7, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 60%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.564%58%
3.542%40%
4.524%19%
5.512%14%
Each team on its own
Charlestonwe expect 1.2, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Hartford Athleticwe expect 2.1, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 61%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Hartford Athletic7 matches in a row with BTTSaway: 6Went on 56%League 55%Model 58%Record 13
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Charleston matches average only 3.2 cards (league 4.4) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Charleston: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Hartford Athletic: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleston | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56:35 | 53 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:33 | 43 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Charleston vs Hartford Athletic?
Charleston are the favourites. Chances: Charleston win 55%, draw 23%, Hartford Athletic win 22%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Charleston vs Hartford Athletic?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Charleston 1.9, Hartford Athletic 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 58%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Charleston vs Hartford Athletic?
The chance that both teams score is 58%.
When is Charleston vs Hartford Athletic?
The USL Championship match kicks off 8 November 2026, 00:30 (UK time).
See also
- USL Championship: table, fixtures and results
- USL Championship stats: over/under, BTTS, corners and cards
- All matches that day
- The clubs' other match this season: Charleston 1-2 Hartford Athletic ()
- The clubs' other match this season: Hartford Athletic 1-1 Charleston ()
- Charleston: Elo rating
- Hartford Athletic: Elo rating