Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island FC: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 19hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%O2.539%43%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Rhode Island FC1:0Hartford AthleticL
- Hartford Athletic3:0Rhode Island FCW
- Rhode Island FC0:0Hartford AthleticD
- Rhode Island FC3:0Hartford AthleticL
- Hartford Athletic1:1Rhode Island FCD
Hartford Athletic's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.2under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.2under 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.2 : 1.1total 2.2Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.4
Hartford Athletic : Rhode Island FCMost likely scores
Model1-114%1-012%0-112%0-011%2-18%1-2—Attack/defence1-114%1-011%0-110%0-010%2-18%1-28%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-012%1-011%0-10-112%0-110%0-00-011%0-010%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 81%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 66%65% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%63% | 63% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39%43% | 43% |
| 1 – Hartford Athletic win | 37%37% · Elo 39% | 37%· Elo 39% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 35%31% | 31% |
| 2 – Rhode Island FC win | 34%35% · Elo 33% | 35%· Elo 33% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Hartford Athletic attack vs Rhode Island FC defenceattack1524defence1610−86 pts to the attack
Rhode Island FC attack vs Hartford Athletic defenceattack1526defence1502+24 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.555%51%
8.542%34%
9.530%28%
10.520%24%
Each team on its own
Hartford Athleticwe expect 4.3, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Rhode Island FCwe expect 3.8, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 23.8 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.564%63%
22.557%52%
23.550%46%
24.543%41%
Each team on its own
Hartford Athleticwe expect 11.8, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 50%
Rhode Island FCwe expect 12.2, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 55%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 36%over
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.584%70%
2.565%55%
3.543%39%
4.525%17%
Each team on its own
Hartford Athleticwe expect 2.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 66%
Rhode Island FCwe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Hartford Athletic: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Hartford Athletic: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Rhode Island FC: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island FC | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island FC?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Hartford Athletic win 37%, draw 29%, Rhode Island FC win 34%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island FC?
Expected goals: 2.2 (Hartford Athletic 1.2, Rhode Island FC 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 39%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island FC?
The USL Championship match kicks off 25 October 2026, 00:00 (UK time).