Charleston vs Indy Eleven: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 19hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%O2.561%58%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Indy Eleven2:0CharlestonL
- Charleston2:1Indy ElevenW
- Indy Eleven1:3CharlestonW
- Charleston5:0Indy ElevenW
- Indy Eleven2:4CharlestonW
Charleston's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.2under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.2under 4.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.2 : 1.0total 3.2Attack/defence2.0 : 1.0total 3.0
Charleston : Indy ElevenMost likely scores
Model1-19%2-110%2-010%1-09%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-010%1-09%3-17%3-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-010%1-01-09%1-09%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 83%82% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%78% | 78% |
| 1 – Charleston win | 63%60% · Elo 62% | 60%· Elo 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%58% | 58% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%64% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%42% | 42% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 37%40% | 40% |
| X – draw | 20%22% · Elo 22% | 22%· Elo 22% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%19% | 19% |
| 2 – Indy Eleven win | 17%18% · Elo 17% | 18%· Elo 17% |
Attack vs defence
Charleston attack vs Indy Eleven defenceattack1641defence1451+190 pts to the attack
Indy Eleven attack vs Charleston defenceattack1512defence1569−57 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.556%51%
8.543%34%
9.531%28%
10.521%24%
Each team on its own
Charlestonwe expect 4.9, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Indy Elevenwe expect 3.4, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 22.0 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.552%63%
22.544%52%
23.538%46%
24.531%41%
Each team on its own
Charlestonwe expect 10.9, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 42%
Indy Elevenwe expect 11.0, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 42%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.577%70%
2.553%55%
3.531%39%
4.516%17%
Each team on its own
Charlestonwe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Indy Elevenwe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Indy Eleven: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Charleston: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Indy Eleven: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Charleston vs Indy Eleven?
Charleston are the favourites. Chances: Charleston win 63%, draw 20%, Indy Eleven win 17%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Charleston vs Indy Eleven?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Charleston 2.2, Indy Eleven 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 2-1.
When is Charleston vs Indy Eleven?
The USL Championship match kicks off 24 October 2026, 23:00 (UK time).