Hartford Athletic 2-0 Sporting Jax: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Dillon Stadium, Hartford, CT

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost63%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (48% of league matches); our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost41%

over 3.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (30% of league matches); our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHartford Athletic150663%55%Draw20%24%Sporting Jax136017%21%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%57%O2.563%59%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Sporting Jax0:3Hartford AthleticW
Hartford Athletic's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.2under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 4
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.0total 3.2Attack/defence2.0 : 1.1total 3.0
Hartford Athletic : Sporting Jax
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%2-09%1-08%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-09%1-09%3-17%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%1-01-08%1-09%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%81%81%
1X – home team avoid defeat83%80%80%
12 – no draw80%78%78%
1 – Hartford Athletic win63%58% · Elo 55%58%· Elo 55%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals63%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals59%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes58%57%57%
Both teams to score: no42%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals41%36%36%
X2 – away team avoid defeat37%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals37%42%42%
X – draw20%22% · Elo 24%22%· Elo 24%
2 – Sporting Jax win17%20% · Elo 21%20%· Elo 21%
Under 1.5 goals16%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Hartford Athletic attack vs Sporting Jax defenceattack1511defence1333+178 pts to the attack
Sporting Jax attack vs Hartford Athletic defenceattack1487defence1510−23 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sporting Jax concede 2.4 goals per game
  • Sporting Jax: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sporting Jax: newly promoted
  • Hartford Athletic: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sporting Jax: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Hartford Athletic27912630:2839
13Sporting Jax27351932:7314
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Hartford Athletic vs Sporting Jax?

Hartford Athletic 2-0 Sporting Jax (half time 1-0).

Did the Hartford Athletic vs Sporting Jax tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.